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A lot of issues with that table

Posted on: May 12, 2020 at 19:49:37 CT

KC rules MU

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What are the projections bases on? An extension of present infection rates in each particular state? Louisiana and Michigan show what happens when a particular area becomes a hot spot - the number of CV19 deaths vastly exceed the number of flu deaths. The table essentially says there will be no more new hot spots in the US even though we are not even half way through the year. That every state will experience the same 7 month future as experienced in its recent past.

Lets look at Alaska, only 10 deaths have been recorded so far this year. 4 more are projected for the rest of the year. While the number of active cases in Alaska is presently only 36, new visitors to the state must quarantine on arrival. That's opening up again and it's likely the virus will arrive in the state again as that happens especially as the summer tourist season gets into gear, even if the number of tourists are reduced from previous years.

I would not put a lot of faith in those projections. Perhaps a few states may not change at all but others will.

Edited by KC rules at 19:57:16 on 05/12/20

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26 of 50 states have a higher or roughly the same number - tigerNkc MU

- 5/12 19:32:26

Missouri averages about 1,250 flu/pneumonia per year... - VaCoach_Tiger05 MU - 5/12 19:49:46

Lots of things besides flu can result in pneumonia - SparkyStalcup MU - 5/12 20:36:27

Missouri had 92 flu deaths in the 2018-2019 season - SparkyStalcup MU - 5/12 20:31:34

I was promised MILLIONS OF DEATH and I WANT MY - RayKinsella1922 SEC - 5/12 20:07:42

Is he working on one? What stock should I buy? (nm) - ashtray UF - 5/12 20:16:39

A lot of issues with that table - KC rules MU - 5/12 19:49:37

That’s what the graph shows. Missouri, for example, is shown - tigerNkc MU

- 5/12 19:57:01

On second thought - KC rules MU - 5/12 20:01:10

Deaths from flu have miraculously disappeared(nm) - DollarSigns MU - 5/12 19:46:18

RE: 26 of 50 states have a higher or roughly the same number - patriot MU - 5/12 19:34:47

California sent the DOW down(nm) - tiger4real MU - 5/12 19:36:30

Don't we still have 7 months left this year? (nm) - ashtray UF - 5/12 19:33:50

Hence the word estimated. Projected. Did you not look at the - tigerNkc MU

- 5/12 19:35:35

RE: Hence the word estimated. Projected. Did you not look at the - patriot MU - 5/12 19:47:39

So they are "projecting" doubling up on flu-deaths - ashtray UF - 5/12 19:38:22

Nobody is doubling up flu deaths. Where’d you see that?(nm) - tigerNkc MU

- 5/12 19:40:16

If they are the same - ashtray UF - 5/12 19:53:59

He can't read charts, seriously.(nm) - RayKinsella1922 SEC - 5/12 19:42:28

It's ashtray - of course he can't even read a chart.(nm) - RayKinsella1922 SEC - 5/12 19:36:12

for some reason they are projecting fewer deaths in Alaska - tigerNkc MU

- 5/12 19:42:46

I assumed the projections are for the year(nm) - tiger4real MU - 5/12 19:35:31