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And the IHME models were mocked for being overstated

Posted on: April 27, 2020 at 13:27:36 CT
kmawv8 KC
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on here. The original model that factored in social distancing measures (at least the first I saw, not sure if it was the "original") seems like it will be accurate when it predicted 100k-240k. Granted, it will be on the low end of that hopefully, but still within the given range.
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Remember: Trump said 60k deaths - ivan drago MU - 4/27 13:23:40
     He actually said 240,000 - MUinIL MU - 4/27 18:00:03
     do you HONESTLY think Trump pulled that number out of his - blake1771 MU - 4/27 14:30:09
     Has the government response not been draconian enough for - JeffB MU - 4/27 14:11:15
     Are we even counting colored folks? - tigerfans3 MU - 4/27 13:45:06
          Could triple or quadruple it (nm) - mizzouSECedes STL - 4/27 13:49:15
     Can you explain why the US economy didn’t shut down for H1N1 - MIZ45 MU - 4/27 13:43:56
     Your side, racist liberals that is, said 2 million - mizzouSECedes STL - 4/27 13:28:51
     No one knew liberal NYers were so terrible with hygiene.(nm) - TigerMatt STL - 4/27 13:26:48
     The experts said 2.2 million. nm. - MUTGR MU - 4/27 13:26:37
          Those numbers in the millions were if no measures were - kmawv8 MU - 4/27 13:28:27
               uh huh and 200k + were WITH all the measures implemented. - blake1771 MU - 4/27 14:28:49
               Why are prisoners getting the virus?(nm) - tigerNkc MU - 4/27 13:53:29
               Even the ones in the 200k range assumed "stringent" social - Ragnar Danneskjold MU - 4/27 13:47:04
               this is a good article imo - 90Tiger STL - 4/27 13:39:00
               Who takes no measures at all? - Sal MU - 4/27 13:31:50
                    ....for social distancing. - kmawv8 MU - 4/27 13:33:22
                         Measures are taken with the flu - Sal MU - 4/27 13:36:27
                              nm - Mr. Socko MU - 4/27 13:41:17
                    That's how they justify their mistakes - mizzouSECedes STL - 4/27 13:32:35
                         What's the excuse? They very clearly stated what their - kmawv8 MU - 4/27 13:34:26
                              you're conveniently over-simplifying this. There are/ - 90Tiger STL - 4/27 13:41:45
                              That study was used as justification - Sal MU - 4/27 13:37:51
                                   Sure it was, which is why the number shouldn't even be - kmawv8 MU - 4/27 13:40:58
                                        If it weren't used to drive policy it wouldn't be a big deal - Sal MU - 4/27 13:45:31
                                             So where is the ire for Trump? (nm) - kmawv8 MU - 4/27 13:51:58
                                                  I've stated it's stupid for him - Sal MU - 4/27 13:55:21
                                                       LOL (nm) - kmawv8 MU - 4/27 14:02:49
                                                            I don't understand this response - Sal MU - 4/27 15:07:54
                                                                 In a question asking where your ire for Trump has been - kmawv8 MU - 4/27 15:10:33
                                                                      ok (nm) - Sal MU - 4/27 15:17:00
                                        there are millions of 'muricans who think the distancing - 90Tiger STL - 4/27 13:44:20
                                        why would it be not considered? the number drove policy - 90Tiger STL - 4/27 13:43:48
                              It's not being disingenous - mizzouSECedes STL - 4/27 13:36:29
                                   So, Trump, other politicians and the media were being - kmawv8 MU - 4/27 13:40:18
                                        that's the point (nm) - Sal MU - 4/27 13:49:46
                                        Exactly (nm) - mizzouSECedes STL - 4/27 13:48:28
     uh hey dip$hit the original model was in the millions - Ragnar Danneskjold MU - 4/27 13:26:31
          wont get to 80k?? Beyond stupid - ivan drago MU - 4/27 13:33:44
               lol new cases and deaths are declining - Ragnar Danneskjold MU - 4/27 13:46:12
               This is why no one takes you seriously, doc (nm) - MIZ45 MU - 4/27 13:45:21
     It's ok. Disproportionately colored people. nm - hokie VT - 4/27 13:25:49
     Your precious IHME models came up with that number - Sal MU - 4/27 13:25:29
          And the IHME models were mocked for being overstated - kmawv8 MU - 4/27 13:27:36
               Those are for very specific dates though - Sal MU - 4/27 13:30:52
                    Do you have a link to those specific dates? - kmawv8 MU - 4/27 13:32:12
                         Right now the total deaths are projected until August 4th - Sal MU - 4/27 13:33:22




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