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This is sobering

Posted on: March 28, 2020 at 13:59:40 CT
*M* KC
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Very interesting data here from a UW affiliated organization funded by the Gates Foundation.

Suggests that Missouri will hit peak on April 20, at a peak death rate of 110 per day

Projects total Missouri deaths of 2,977 by August 3.

https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections

This kind of data might explain why the expert epidemiologists of the world are taking this a bit more seriously than some of the posters on Tigerboard.
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This is sobering - *M* KC - 3/28 13:59:40
     I’m starting to think the more hysterical docs get more $. - Emoji Man MSU - 3/28 15:37:19
     Looks like the infamous Imperial Model (nm) - Sal MU - 3/28 15:01:33
     You considering offing yourself and the family to avoid the - 90Tiger STL - 3/28 14:31:54
          RE: You considering offing yourself and the family to avoid the - *M* KC - 3/28 14:38:10
               No, i'm not reacting to "projections" and being hysterical - 90Tiger STL - 3/28 15:02:58
                    LOL - *M* KC - 3/28 15:04:51
                         you should review your posts the past week (nm) - 90Tiger STL - 3/28 15:11:57
                              LOL again - *M* KC - 3/28 15:15:37
                                   everyone in which you chastise folks for not reacting - 90Tiger STL - 3/28 15:25:44
                                        LOL a third time. - *M* KC - 3/28 15:47:14
                                             I'm truly impressed (nm) - 90Tiger STL - 3/28 18:42:53
     the next time one of those models is accurate will be the - MizzouAstro MU - 3/28 14:24:44
     They’re the lucky ones - El-ahrairah BAMA - 3/28 14:05:31
          That seems a lot like laughing at what scientists said - raskolnikov MU - 3/28 14:25:13
               yeah libtard scientists are geniuses now(nm) - TigerFan92 MU - 3/28 15:23:55
          I may actually die from longing for the soul enriching - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 3/28 14:10:53
               RE: I may actually die from longing for the soul enriching - raskolnikov MU - 3/28 14:28:39
                    yer such a good person - TigerFan92 MU - 3/28 15:24:42
                         I am a jihadist, so there you have it(nm) - raskolnikov MU - 3/28 15:42:38
     What is sobering is that Gates is one of the elite behind - jonesin - 3/28 14:05:16
     That would be bad, but less than most “expert” projections - tiger4real MU - 3/28 14:04:22
          Yes, not long ago many predictions were well into - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 3/28 14:07:46
               You guys have some FCKED UP news sources - raskolnikov MU - 3/28 14:31:31
          note that’s only through August 3. Absent a vaccine, or a - *M* KC - 3/28 14:07:39
               There will not be a vaccine for a year. Likely get a second - raskolnikov MU - 3/28 14:32:57
               I understand. Don’t think a vaccine will be avail until ’21 - tiger4real MU - 3/28 14:12:16
     I hope this is avoided - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 3/28 14:02:35
          when they are overstated, experts will say it's because - MizzouAstro MU - 3/28 14:25:50
               Same thing the man made global warming "the earth will be - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 3/28 14:27:07
          Well, this model is about 1,600,000 deaths below previous - ummmm MU - 3/28 14:07:39
               As noted above, its only through August 3 - *M* KC - 3/28 14:08:53
                    So, 80,000 before August 3rd and 1,600,000 next winter - ummmm MU - 3/28 14:10:11
                         That model uses 1918 stats against current population-fwit(nm) - Mo Texan MU - 3/28 14:36:41
                         there has been a wide range of projections - *M* KC - 3/28 14:12:50
                              What purpose do these projections serve? Especially - ummmm MU - 3/28 14:16:05
                                   to guide wise decision making(nm) - *M* KC - 3/28 14:39:24
                                        is it wisdom to follow inaccurate models?(nm) - MizzouAstro MU - 3/28 14:52:10
                                             it is wisdom to give credence to models that are prudently - *M* KC - 3/28 14:56:33
                                                  i think it's prudent to utilize all information at hand - MizzouAstro MU - 3/28 15:21:25
                                   to scare people - MizzouAstro MU - 3/28 14:31:31
                                        Ignorance is indeed bliss. (nm) - *M* KC - 3/28 14:41:17
                                             And projections are often wrong - and quite wrong - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 3/28 14:43:25
                                                  RE: And projections are often wrong - and quite wrong - *M* KC - 3/28 14:50:59
                                                       what is "erring on the side of caution" vs. what we're all - 90Tiger STL - 3/28 15:30:30
                                                       Prudence is wise. Hysteria not - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 3/28 15:00:34
                                                            you'll see hysteria when the food runs out (nm) - ashtray UF - 3/28 15:41:23
                                                                 well, yeah (nm) - 90Tiger STL - 3/28 18:42:33
                                                            I'm not sure where you've seen hysteria. - *M* KC - 3/28 15:03:18
                              No one knows how many have already been infected - tiger4real MU - 3/28 14:15:58
                                   Id say possibly, rather than likely(nm) - *M* KC - 3/28 14:52:08




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