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I can see the number of infected reaching similar numbers

Posted on: March 16, 2020 at 20:16:14 CT
Sal CMSU
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but I think the mortality rate will be far less than Italy. I have absolutely no science to back that up, but the model he posted seems to suggest the CDC may have seen something similar, hence their 8 week recommendation.
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Modeling has infection in Italy Italy running till May 6. - TigerMatt STL - 3/16 20:06:37
     It will get sunny and warm. - Newcatbirdseat MU - 3/16 20:49:18
          I don't know - ashtray UF - 3/16 20:52:22
               get a blow dryer (nm) - Sal MU - 3/16 20:54:39
                    already did - ashtray UF - 3/16 20:57:00
     Behind? Italy didnt ban China until after the US(nm) - hefeweizen MU - 3/16 20:18:09
          That doesn't matter at this point. - MrBlueSky MU - 3/16 20:26:00
               Sure it does. Reducing the number of foreign hosts coming in - hefeweizen MU - 3/16 20:28:58
                    There are still plent of citizen hosts coming in & spreading - tigerdb MU - 3/16 20:58:20
                    3/5 Italy had ~3800 confirmed. End of 3/15 USA had - MrBlueSky MU - 3/16 20:43:42
                         There are a lot of differences to factor in as well - Sal MU - 3/16 20:46:51
                         given our 330M people, mights be our spread is slower (nm) - 90Tiger STL - 3/16 20:46:40
                         oh, good to know they are demographically, geographically, - 90Tiger STL - 3/16 20:45:43
                              Population density matters. (nm) - MrBlueSky MU - 3/16 20:47:38
                                   No **** Sherlock. Lol(nm) - hefeweizen MU - 3/16 20:50:00
                                        hey bro, population density matters (nm) - 90Tiger STL - 3/16 20:51:48
                                             Lol. Which is why comparing Italy and US is dumb(nm) - hefeweizen MU - 3/16 20:53:00
                                   should be at about 40000 in NYC by now (nm) - 90Tiger STL - 3/16 20:49:28
                                   thanks, that's a revelation to me (nm) - 90Tiger STL - 3/16 20:48:44
                                        Haha. But Italy!(nm) - hefeweizen MU - 3/16 20:52:01
                         You are out of your element and your excitement over this - hefeweizen MU - 3/16 20:45:34
                              It's math. Exponential growth. Ain't hard. - MrBlueSky MU - 3/16 20:46:34
                                   Trump fvcked up the testing, remember? We gonna blow - 90Tiger STL - 3/16 20:52:46
                                   exponential growth is understood - Sal MU - 3/16 20:49:43
                                   Lol. Goddam you are dumb.(nm) - hefeweizen MU - 3/16 20:49:03
                                   lol (nm) - 90Tiger STL - 3/16 20:47:20
                    he doesn't have any idea what he's talking about (nm) - 90Tiger STL - 3/16 20:34:56
               BUT HOW MUCH DID THEY TEST? (nm) - 90Tiger STL - 3/16 20:26:32
     Its a joke to compare because while it might replicate - TigerFan92 MU - 3/16 20:12:45
          It also ignores that Italy and the rest of Europe didnt - hefeweizen MU - 3/16 20:19:20
               Right so does that just delay it or in fact reduce the numbe - TigerFan92 MU - 3/16 20:27:25
                    This virus didn't originate here. Cutting off the spigot - hefeweizen MU - 3/16 20:30:48
                         of course it helps. Keeping it in areas is the key(nm) - TigerFan92 MU - 3/16 20:41:13
          I can see the number of infected reaching similar numbers - Sal MU - 3/16 20:16:14




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