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So explain the math on Trump's 2020 election chances...

Posted on: September 19, 2019 at 09:53:22 CT
Gyro MU
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His base is 40% and he garnered a lot of votes from people that were turned off by Hillary. So many of the 2016 votes for Trump were cast by people who did it relunctantly.

Where's he going to add at least 10% of the electorate when he's not running against the Antichrist again? A reasonably person would admit that he not only has to keep all of his base (I agree he can) but add or keep another 10% of voters.

Oh and for the sake of explanation, let's pretend the impending Recession doesn't hit within 14 months.

Edited by Gyro at 09:54:20 on 09/19/19
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So explain the math on Trump's 2020 election chances... - Gyro MU - 9/19 09:53:22
     RE: So explain the math on Trump's 2020 election chances... - MOCO SON MU - 9/19 10:48:54
     Don was at 46.8% approval week of election - raskolnikov MU - 9/19 10:47:48
          Warren has talked about issues that matter... - Gyro MU - 9/19 10:51:32
          One poll had him at 50% this week. nm. - MUTGR MU - 9/19 10:49:06
               Good for "one poll" - raskolnikov MU - 9/19 10:50:18
          He's currently at 58% according to nonbiased polls(nm) - Ragnar Danneskjold MU - 9/19 10:48:44
               LOL, this is totally you(nm) - Gyro MU - 9/19 10:52:54
               Uh huh(nm) - raskolnikov MU - 9/19 10:51:36
     Quit worrying about it. He will be re-elected(nm) - DollarSigns MU - 9/19 10:42:05
     Hillary was horrible person but she was pretty mainstream - DHighlander NWMSU - 9/19 10:39:37
          Trump's got a problem if Warren is the nominee... - Gyro MU - 9/19 10:43:31
               Looks like you have it all figured out(nm) - DollarSigns MU - 9/19 10:45:40
                    Add something substantive to the conversation... - Gyro MU - 9/19 10:47:30
               Hillary was a woman also (marginally) - Spanky KU - 9/19 10:45:37
                    No offense but the "would never vote for a Democrat"... - Gyro MU - 9/19 10:53:45
                         Nor is the 'would never vote for a Republican' voter - Spanky KU - 9/19 11:29:55
          Hillary (and now Biden) ran as a continuation of Obama - Spanky KU - 9/19 10:41:18
               Just a reminder, Obama WAS a two term President... - Gyro MU - 9/19 10:44:10
                    So was Bush - Spanky KU - 9/19 10:46:18
               I'll take Obama over any of the current Dem candidates.(nm) - TigerMatt STL - 9/19 10:42:07
                    The idea that Obama was some sort of leftwing President... - Gyro MU - 9/19 10:46:46
                         He was merely a HORRIBLE president who's job approval - Spanky KU - 9/19 10:50:11
                              Horrible Presidents don't get two terms... - Gyro MU - 9/19 10:52:11
                                   Unless the opposition runs John Kerry or Mitt Romney - Spanky KU - 9/19 10:52:58
                                        Look at it Januray 2017(nm) - MrBlueSky MU - 9/19 11:04:25
                                             Straw man much? - Spanky KU - 9/19 11:32:00
     You’re forgetting the 9% Russkie vote uplift - Floyd Turbo 99 - 9/19 10:36:22
     Where? Actually it appears whoever he runs against - GA Tiger MU - 9/19 10:22:50
          We disagree, Georgia. It is his talking and tweets that set - hokie VT - 9/19 10:35:01
          LOL, yeah Trump will talk less... - Gyro MU - 9/19 10:29:30
     Because the candidates running are siblings of - Logan BAMA - 9/19 10:15:04
          That's not true at all... - Gyro MU - 9/19 10:30:54
               I didn't vote for him the first time... - Logan BAMA - 9/19 10:41:07
               It isn't about how many people dislike Trump. It's about - TigerMatt STL - 9/19 10:35:55
                    Then with respect to Hillary, are you saying that Trump... - Gyro MU - 9/19 10:38:40
                         No. He did. I'm saying the leading Dem candidates are worse - TigerMatt STL - 9/19 10:41:02
                              You are truly in the minority there though, right? - Gyro MU - 9/19 10:48:53
          I was gonna say that - mizzouSECedes STL - 9/19 10:17:17
          You're ignoriing the power of people wanting Trump out... - Gyro MU - 9/19 10:37:38
     If it's Biden, the black/woke crowd won't show up to the - Ragnar Danneskjold MU - 9/19 09:58:35
          compared to...? - gmmm98 MU - 9/19 10:17:06
               Of course he keeps the traditional conservative vote - mizzouSECedes STL - 9/19 10:18:19
                    i don't mean to suggest they vote d - gmmm98 MU - 9/19 10:19:17
                         we aren't that far removed from the tea party movement - gmmm98 MU - 9/19 10:22:21
                              No he's not... - Gyro MU - 9/19 10:31:35
                    There are conservatives with principles out there - MrBlueSky MU - 9/19 10:19:06
                         That are going to vote for Pocahontas? - Ragnar Danneskjold MU - 9/19 10:22:10
     From the people who got jobs, pay raises and tax cuts - Spanky KU - 9/19 09:55:08




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