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Per the estimates of the study, based on the estimates of

Posted on: January 2, 2019 at 14:54:26 CT
Badird MU
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the model, and per the outlier iterations of the model run one million times, no, its not impossible.

Nor is it impossible that a meteor crashes through your office and hits you in the head.

There were a handful of iterations (of which I saw no tables or hard data) that scored above 35M. That does not, in any measure, indicate reliability of those probabilities. I cant seem to stress that enough. Nor does it show any likelihood to be true. Thats why they ran the simulation one million times and not 10 times.
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Trump back running mouth again in impromptu Press Conference - mu7176grad MU - 1/2 13:13:16
     I didn't see it and frankly don't much care, but i've always - hokie VT - 1/2 13:50:20
     So Trump is just being Trump? - Sal KC - 1/2 13:22:43
          Not surprised, disappointed in his lack of maturity(nm) - miz_zou MU - 1/2 13:45:58
          Doing wonders for his re-election efforts no doubt(nm) - raskolnikov MU - 1/2 13:41:32
               Dems will take care of that for him - Ragnar Danneskjold MU - 1/2 13:48:51
                    Dems have a clear shot at gaining WH as along as they - raskolnikov MU - 1/2 14:11:17
                         Can hear Don's plea now- "vote for me or I'm going to jail"(nm) - raskolnikov MU - 1/2 14:13:01
     who cares? (nm) - pickle MU - 1/2 13:17:38
          It a political board idiot--know you don't care - mu7176grad MU - 1/2 13:30:47
               Meaning what is so important about this? - pickle MU - 1/2 13:34:31
                    I listen to the POTUS press conferences on CNBC - mu7176grad MU - 1/2 13:38:20
                         Turn it off - pickle MU - 1/2 13:44:23
                              I like to watch financial news---you like cartoons - mu7176grad MU - 1/2 13:47:02
                    your "who cares?" response has been incredibly effective - 90Tiger MU - 1/2 13:35:42
                         Cogent and Pickle are rarely used in the same sentence - mu7176grad MU - 1/2 13:41:27
                              I'm not the one watching msnbc or listening to Trump's - pickle MU - 1/2 13:45:36
               ANSWER HIS QUESTION, DAMMIT! (nm) - Badird MU - 1/2 13:32:59
     My favorite is him saying there are at least 30-35 - MrBlueSky MU - 1/2 13:15:13
          Are you outraged at Pew or the NYT or the 1000 outlets - 90Tiger MU - 1/2 14:04:18
          No evidence he is wrong - Spanky KU - 1/2 13:51:41
          How many do you want to have is a better question. - RHAYWORTH MU - 1/2 13:40:54
               That isn't a figure to relate to illegal immigration, though - MrBlueSky MU - 1/2 13:43:46
                    why is that? (nm) - 90Tiger MU - 1/2 14:19:44
                    actually, it is, if you could do math. - RHAYWORTH MU - 1/2 13:58:29
          RE: My favorite is him saying there are at least 30-35 - 90Tiger MU - 1/2 13:29:38
               I suppose this is you attempting to provide evidence - MrBlueSky MU - 1/2 13:34:45
                    He's a lot closer than Pew and you guys are - 90Tiger MU - 1/2 13:39:11
                    not really - 90Tiger MU - 1/2 13:36:04
                         I'm very proud that you located a study "based on - MrBlueSky MU - 1/2 13:37:11
                              He's a lot closer than Pew and you guys are (nm) - 90Tiger MU - 1/2 13:39:31
                                   There is no way of knowing that - MrBlueSky MU - 1/2 13:44:35
                                        Who can make a fvcking count?? So, i.e., you have no - 90Tiger MU - 1/2 13:45:41
                                             This model even admits that after 1 million simulations - MrBlueSky MU - 1/2 13:52:14
                                                  here is where you get to see your straw man - I never - 90Tiger MU - 1/2 13:56:38
                                                       Still not 30-35 million, no matter how much you spin it - MrBlueSky MU - 1/2 13:58:36
                                                            and still there was a % of the model for 30-35M, so, there - 90Tiger MU - 1/2 14:01:54
                         "Outliers are proof!" - 90 (nm) - Badird MU - 1/2 13:36:32
                              you didn't read that link. that much is obvious. Trump - 90Tiger MU - 1/2 13:40:01
                                   Take a look at their distribution. The mean from their - Badird MU - 1/2 13:51:12
                                        you have reading comprehension issues. I - 90Tiger MU - 1/2 13:57:14
                                             So you are proving that Trump fabricated his number to - Badird MU - 1/2 13:58:18
                                                  Fabricated? it's right there in the study that it's within - 90Tiger MU - 1/2 14:02:24
                                                       This is absurd. - Badird MU - 1/2 14:17:30
                                                            are you saying it was 100% statistically impossible, per - 90Tiger MU - 1/2 14:19:21
                                                                 Per the estimates of the study, based on the estimates of - Badird MU - 1/2 14:54:26
                                                                      thanks. not impossible (nm) - 90Tiger MU - 1/2 14:57:33
                              I wonder why he buys into this "model" with regards - MrBlueSky MU - 1/2 13:37:44
                                   so all models have the same integrity? Is this your new - 90Tiger MU - 1/2 13:41:37
                                        Did you read the methodology of this paper? - MrBlueSky MU - 1/2 13:45:50
                                             yes. did you read (yet) why I posted it? lol (nm) - 90Tiger MU - 1/2 13:57:33
                                                  Yeah, it's clear. Donnie makes outrageous false - MrBlueSky MU - 1/2 13:59:15
                                                       outrageous? false? it's right there in the fringes of the - 90Tiger MU - 1/2 14:03:02
                                                            You need to retake introduction to statistics - MrBlueSky MU - 1/2 14:04:27
                                                                 Why is that? I understand what they are. Are you outraged - 90Tiger MU - 1/2 14:05:22
                                                                      So again, this one study - MrBlueSky MU - 1/2 14:08:00
                                                                           the other sources? You mean the one Pew study? lmfao - 90Tiger MU - 1/2 14:10:51
               your assertion that there is nothing suggesting that - 90Tiger MU - 1/2 13:34:38
                    Lol that was not my assertion - MrBlueSky MU - 1/2 13:36:23
                         ok, well, now you have some. Is Trump submitting a researc - 90Tiger MU - 1/2 13:42:28
                              No, thats not the assumption. The assumption should be that - Badird MU - 1/2 13:54:15
                                   also glad you finally read it and now you know the pew - 90Tiger MU - 1/2 13:58:31
                                        lol I read it from the start. You just admitted Trump was - Badird MU - 1/2 14:03:33
                                             I know Trump is wrong, lmfao!! Are you outraged at Pew and - 90Tiger MU - 1/2 14:06:07
                                                  One essay - MrBlueSky MU - 1/2 14:08:22
                                                       one says they are right - why do you take up one side? - 90Tiger MU - 1/2 14:12:37
                                                            Likely neither is right (nm) - MrBlueSky MU - 1/2 14:13:25
                                                                 then why the outrage? (nm) - 90Tiger MU - 1/2 14:13:59
                                                                      He's making claims without evidence to further his agenda - MrBlueSky MU - 1/2 14:15:08
                                                                           just like Pew and those who repeat their nonsense and - 90Tiger MU - 1/2 14:58:03
                                                                                Pew didnt fabricate their numbers. - Badird MU - 1/2 15:50:54
                                                  Am I outraged that one paper suggests they are wrong? - Badird MU - 1/2 14:07:23
                                                       So you're saying the paper is wrong? (nm) - 90Tiger MU - 1/2 14:08:30
                                                            Wrong? No. What Im saying is that - Badird MU - 1/2 14:12:22
                                                                 What's the science behind Pew? Agree with your last - 90Tiger MU - 1/2 14:13:20
                                                                      When have I? I dont care. Recognizing that there is - Badird MU - 1/2 14:15:10
                                                                      Who's doing that? - MrBlueSky MU - 1/2 14:14:23
                                                                           He has a significant history of doing so. - Badird MU - 1/2 14:16:21
                                                                                He and Spanky cannot help themselves - MrBlueSky MU - 1/2 14:21:25
                                                            You're saying it's fact? - MrBlueSky MU - 1/2 14:10:45
                                                                 lol no. did i say it's fact? what are "all the others" to - 90Tiger MU - 1/2 14:13:45
                                   so now you know he could have used the numbers - 90Tiger MU - 1/2 13:58:07
                                        Could have?? - MrBlueSky MU - 1/2 13:59:48
                                        Do you think he did that? - Badird MU - 1/2 13:59:40
                                             no, I don't think he did that - the assertion was it's made - 90Tiger MU - 1/2 14:03:50
               Right, so definitely not 30-35M? (nm) - Badird MU - 1/2 13:31:52




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