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It's true. On day of election most models had

Posted on: February 19, 2017 at 18:14:15 CT
tjwheeler UI
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HRC by 1.8-3.5% lead which was well within the margin of error. In fact, that's why Nate Silver said HRC was one swing state away from losing the EC.

You're simply wrong.
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MESSAGE THREAD

One Month in, Trump is 21% behind average - tjwheeler UI - 2/19 16:52:51
     #fakenews - FootballRefugee MU - 2/19 22:52:45
     that's a good sign (nm) - 90Tiger MU - 2/19 18:07:09
     How lost are the Republicans? - Hbombtiger STL - 2/19 17:27:45
          It's almost as though they won a bunch of elections - 90Tiger MU - 2/19 18:08:04
          The GOP knows they're going to pay a price in 2018. - tjwheeler UI - 2/19 17:51:42
               Want to bet?(nm) - tman KC - 2/19 18:27:52
                    Bet? Are we in 4th grade here?(nm) - tjwheeler UI - 2/19 18:32:29
          Who said elections have consequences? - RHAYWORTH MU - 2/19 17:39:14
          Lol - pickle MU - 2/19 17:36:02
          I don't care, we will survive just fine - raskolnikov MU - 2/19 17:32:52
          So, basically the Dems of 2008.nm - tiger4real MU - 2/19 17:30:57
               Except, 30% of the other side approved - Hbombtiger STL - 2/19 17:36:37
                    Bigger issue is only 35% of Ind approve of Trump - tjwheeler UI - 2/19 17:52:15
                         Also true, but who are the Dems going to run against him - bcoop199 KC - 2/19 18:00:16
                              4 year is too far. 2018. - tjwheeler UI - 2/19 18:04:00
                                   Definitely possible...nm - bcoop199 KC - 2/19 18:06:27
                    No. - tiger4real MU - 2/19 17:46:32
                    Yea, the right and independants approved so much that - bcoop199 KC - 2/19 17:40:21
                         And Obama coasted to a second term(nm) - tjwheeler UI - 2/19 17:52:36
                              True, but to act like the right and I were loving the - bcoop199 KC - 2/19 17:59:02
                                   I agree with you. - tjwheeler UI - 2/19 18:01:36
                                        I lean right on some issues, left on some, and most of the - bcoop199 KC - 2/19 18:04:51
                                             I'm pretty much the same although - tjwheeler UI - 2/19 18:07:54
                         So with 40% approval you can imagine the coming midterms - raskolnikov MU - 2/19 17:42:31
     So, Kind of like the average dem voter IQ? - RHAYWORTH MU - 2/19 17:25:30
          How is that poll a reflection of my IQ? - tjwheeler UI - 2/19 17:28:44
     Good to see a Prez actually doing something he said - Diamond Dave MU - 2/19 17:24:18
          Gallup isn't an election pollster. They stay out of - tjwheeler UI - 2/19 17:34:42
     Polls. Lol (nm) - pickle MU - 2/19 17:23:09
     And he is peaking now. Ow(nm) - raskolnikov MU - 2/19 17:15:55
          Interesting to see the rapid erosion of independents(nm) - tjwheeler UI - 2/19 17:35:18
          You wish... - Salty Dog MU - 2/19 17:16:48
               Presidents enjoy a honeymoon phase when they take office - raskolnikov MU - 2/19 17:23:09
                    Trump ain't your average president... - Salty Dog MU - 2/19 17:53:33
                         A whole new world with worst approval after one month - tjwheeler UI - 2/19 18:02:34
     polls had hellary up 7% day before election(nm) - afleet MU - 2/19 17:14:03
          Hillary is not part of the discussion. Cap'n flailing(nm) - raskolnikov MU - 2/19 17:16:31
               No, bad polls are... - Salty Dog MU - 2/19 17:17:21
                    Denying what, that the Cap'n has lowest level of approval. - raskolnikov MU - 2/19 17:19:12
                         Could you please provide evidence he is in over his head? - Salty Dog MU - 2/19 17:54:57
                              35% favorability by Independents after one month(nm) - tjwheeler UI - 2/19 18:39:01
                              To liberals, there feeling make something real - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 2/19 17:56:34
                                   If you're going to add nothing to a discussion, could - tjwheeler UI - 2/19 18:39:57
     Considering where he started he's made quite an improvement - Salty Dog MU - 2/19 17:11:11
          Which is exactly the opposite of what has happened. - tjwheeler UI - 2/19 17:26:59
          He is not going up, my friend. - raskolnikov MU - 2/19 17:25:05
               ^^ Denial (nm) - Salty Dog MU - 2/19 17:55:40
                    Says the person who spins "worst 1 month approval since - tjwheeler UI - 2/19 18:17:08
          Polls ALL say he has absolutely no chance of winning - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 2/19 17:12:19
               That's not true. Polls were in margin of error.(nm) - tjwheeler UI - 2/19 17:27:28
                    lmfao (nm) - 90Tiger MU - 2/19 18:09:19
                         It's true. On day of election most models had - tjwheeler UI - 2/19 18:14:15
                    Where they mattered they were. - raskolnikov MU - 2/19 17:35:45
               Rasmussen has him at 55% approval... - Salty Dog MU - 2/19 17:16:19
                    And all the rest have his disapproval higher than approval(nm) - tjwheeler UI - 2/19 17:29:22
                    Don't embarrass yourself - raskolnikov MU - 2/19 17:26:06
                    He is making fools of the left by simply getting them - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 2/19 17:17:31
                         Guess what ? I am fine. He is the one in the spotlight(nm) - raskolnikov MU - 2/19 17:26:47
                              You are marginal in your lucid moments - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 2/19 17:52:32
                                   Not sure I've read a salient and reasoned and calm post - tjwheeler UI - 2/19 18:32:57
     Oh no, he won't be president for the next 46 months - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 2/19 17:07:33
          Until 2018.(nm) - tjwheeler UI - 2/19 17:30:28
          haha. 2018 will be an epic slaughter of the dems. cant wait - yy4u MU - 2/19 17:09:42
               He has already destroyed their psyche as you can see - 4TigersinMichigan MU - 2/19 17:11:22
     Wow, a poll. those r so rare and accurate. Since he got - yy4u MU - 2/19 17:06:59
          Splendid rambling(nm) - tjwheeler UI - 2/19 17:32:11
     That just tells me he's doing something right, when - GA Tiger MU - 2/19 17:06:48
          And only 1/3 of indies. GOP will look the other - tjwheeler UI - 2/19 17:33:07
     Polls are rigged pretty badly. - Evenflow MU - 2/19 17:04:42
          Gallup isn't. Gallup also doesn't poll elections(nm) - tjwheeler UI - 2/19 17:31:07
     So, room for improvement? - tiger4real MU - 2/19 16:58:36
          surprised about what - yy4u MU - 2/19 17:07:55
          If I were in Camp Trump, the 35% would be a huge concern. - tjwheeler UI - 2/19 17:02:41
               RE: If I were in Camp Trump, the 35% would be a huge concern. - tiger4real MU - 2/19 17:14:21




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