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Trump needs to win NO states Hillary is leading in to get
Posted on: November 6, 2016 at 20:43:03 CT
JeffB MU
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more delegates than Hillary, per the latest polls posted on 270towin.com.
With all of the usual caveats... the polls being accurate, Soros' men not rigging the voting machines which his company manufactures and sells to 50% of the states etc...
If he wins all of the states where they are tied & all of those that he leads, Trump would have 269 delegates, which should theoretically leave the top two candidates tied... but Hillary would have only 268 delegates as one Washington State delegate said that he will not vote for her no matter what. She could lose another, however, dropping her to 267 delegates to Trump's 269 as another delegate said he is on the fence as to whether or not he will vote for her.
Trump would get another delegate if he wins Maine's 2nd District, which has a +1 Clinton lean as of the latest poll by Emerson College/MPRC on Nov 1st. That would give him the 270 delegates to win it all. If he won the others where they are tied and where he is leading but lost Maine's 2nd District it would go to the House of Representatives to decide.
In other words, if Trump wins all of the states (& Maine's 2nd District) highlighted in gold below, he will be our next President of the United States.
Edited by JeffB at 20:48:55 on 11/06/16
With all of the usual caveats... the polls being accurate, Soros' men not rigging the voting machines which his company manufactures and sells to 50% of the states etc...
If he wins all of the states where they are tied & all of those that he leads, Trump would have 269 delegates, which should theoretically leave the top two candidates tied... but Hillary would have only 268 delegates as one Washington State delegate said that he will not vote for her no matter what. She could lose another, however, dropping her to 267 delegates to Trump's 269 as another delegate said he is on the fence as to whether or not he will vote for her.
Trump would get another delegate if he wins Maine's 2nd District, which has a +1 Clinton lean as of the latest poll by Emerson College/MPRC on Nov 1st. That would give him the 270 delegates to win it all. If he won the others where they are tied and where he is leading but lost Maine's 2nd District it would go to the House of Representatives to decide.
In other words, if Trump wins all of the states (& Maine's 2nd District) highlighted in gold below, he will be our next President of the United States.
State EV Hillary Trump 0ther Hillary MoE date EV EV poll
# % % % % lean Trump Hillary
DC * 3 90 10 80 09/06/16 538 3 n/a
Maryland 10 63 27 4 36 10/06/16 535 13 Wash Post/U of Maryland
Massachusetts 11 56 26 7 30 5.00% 11/04/16 525 24 Western New England U
Vermont 3 50 22 16 28 10/27/16 514 27 WCAX
Hawaii 4 51 25 10 26 09/06/16 511 31 Wash Post/Survey Monkey
Delaware 3 51 30 10 21 10/03/16 507 34 Univ Delaware
Rhode Island 4 52 32 6 20 10/06/16 504 38 Emerson College
California 55 53 33 7 20 11/03/16 500 93 Field Poll UC Berkeley
Washington 12 48 31 19 17 10/24/16 445 105 Elway Poll
New York 29 51 34 8 17 4.50% 11/06/16 433 134 Siena College
Connecticut 7 50 35 2 15 09/07/16 404 141 Emerson College
New Jersey 14 51 40 9 11 10/18/16 397 155 Fairleigh Dickenson
Illinois 20 49 37.5 8.5 8.4 11/01/16 383 175 Emerson College/Loras College
Minnesota 10 47 39 7 8 10/24/16 363 185 Minneapolis Star Tribune
Oregon 7 41 34 25 7 11/01/16 353 192 DHM Research
Wisconsin 10 44 38 9 6 4.40% 11/04/16 346 202 Loras College
Virginia 13 46.5 40.5 7 6 3.35% 11/04/16 336 215 Roanoake College, Public Policy
New Mexico 5 45 40 1 5 4.4%% 11/06/16 323 220 Albuquerque Journal
Michigan 16 46 41 3 5 3.10% 11/06/16 318 236 Mitchell Research
Maine 3 44 39.5 7 4.5 11/01/16 302 239 Emerson College/MPRC
Pennsylvania 20 44 40 7 4 5.50% 11/05/16 299 259 Morning Call/Mueling
Colorado 9 46.5 43.5 2.5 3 3.35% 11/04/16 279 268 Public Policy, Trafalgar Group
Maine 2nd Dist 1 43.5 42.5 17 1 3.45% 11/01/16 270 269 Emerson College/MPRC
Alaska 3 47 43 17 0 10/26/16 269 272 Cracium Research
Florida 29 45 45 4 0 3.60% 11/03/16 266 301 Opinion Savvy
Ohio 18 45 46 4 -1 4.10% 10/31/16 237 319 Remington Research
New Hampshire 4 41.3 43.3 7 -2 4.27% 11/03/16 219 323 WBUR, ARG, Suffolk
Mississippi 6 43 46 5 -3 09/16/16 215 329 Wash Post/Survey Monkey
Nevada 6 44 47 3.5 -3 3.75% 11/02/16 209 335 CNN/ORC, JMC Analytics
Georgia 16 45.5 48.5 1.5 -3 3.65% 11/04/16 203 351 Opinion Savvy/Landmarkcom
North Carolina 15 43 46.5 7.5 -3.5 11/01/16 187 366 Elon University/SurveyUSA
Iowa 6 41 45 7.5 -4 3.35% 11/05/16 172 372 Loras College, Selzer & Co
South Carolina 9 38 42 11 -4 09/29/16 166 381 Winthrop University
Arizona 11 39 47 7 -8 4.10% 11/04/16 157 392 Data Orbital
Utah 6 24 33 10 -9 4.40% 11/04/16 146 398 Y2 Analytics
Texas 38 40 49 3 -9 3.80% 11/03/16 140 436 NBC/WSJ/Marist
North Dakota 3 32 43 16 -11 09/20/16 102 439 DFM Research
Kansas 6 36 47 8 -11 10/17/16 99 445 SurveyUSA
Indiana 11 39 50 7 -11 10/31/16 93 456 Monmouth University
Arkansas 6 39.5 51 5.5 -11.5 10/24/16 82 462 avg Hendrick & Remington
Tennessee 11 34.5 46 13 -11.5 10/04/16 76 473 MTSU/Vanderbilt
South Dakota 3 35 49 9 -14 11/01/16 65 476 Nielson Brothers
Louisiana 8 35 49 7 -14 10/28/16 62 484 University of New Orleans
Missouri 10 37 52 4 -15 3.80% 11/02/16 54 494 Emerson College
Montana 3 27 43 21 -16 10/25/16 44 497 Montana State U
Kentucky 8 37 54 7 -17 11/01/16 41 505 Western Kentucky U
Idaho 4 29 48 7 -19 10/27/16 33 509 Rasmussen
Alabama 9 31 53 6 -22 09/06/16 29 518 Wash Post/Survey Monkey
West Virginia 5 27 52 5 -25 09/06/16 20 523 Wash Post/Survey Monkey
Nebraska 5 29 56 7 -27 09/28/16 15 528 Emerson College
Oklahoma 7 30 60 5 -30 10/23/16 10 535 Sooner Poll
Wyoming 3 19 54 15 -35 09/21/16 3 538 DFM Research
Edited by JeffB at 20:48:55 on 11/06/16
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Trump needs to win NO states Hillary is leading in to get - JeffB MU - 11/6 20:43:03