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Thanks. That's the first article I've seen that made valid
Posted on: November 3, 2016 at 13:26:25 CT
JeffB MU
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criticisms of that poll.
I think it does, however, also show that the margin of error in perhaps all other polls that use weighting and algorithms to make up for too small a sample size is probably significantly larger than they indicate.
I've seen polls released over the same time frame that had very large differences from each other, but both claimed a much smaller margin for error than that discrepancy.
North Carolina http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2016-north-carolina-president-trump-vs-clinton
Trump +7
SurveyUSA/WRAL
Oct 28 – Oct 31
659 Likely Voters
Clinton +7
SurveyMonkey
Oct 26 – Nov 1
1,617 Likely Voters
FLORIDA http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2016-florida-presidential-general-election-trump-vs-clinton
Clinton +8
TargetSmart/William & Mary
Oct 25 – Oct 30
718 Likely Voters
Trump +4
Remington Research Group (R)/Axiom Strategies
Oct 30 – Oct 30
989 Likely Voters
I think it does, however, also show that the margin of error in perhaps all other polls that use weighting and algorithms to make up for too small a sample size is probably significantly larger than they indicate.
I've seen polls released over the same time frame that had very large differences from each other, but both claimed a much smaller margin for error than that discrepancy.
North Carolina http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2016-north-carolina-president-trump-vs-clinton
Trump +7
SurveyUSA/WRAL
Oct 28 – Oct 31
659 Likely Voters
Clinton +7
SurveyMonkey
Oct 26 – Nov 1
1,617 Likely Voters
FLORIDA http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2016-florida-presidential-general-election-trump-vs-clinton
Clinton +8
TargetSmart/William & Mary
Oct 25 – Oct 30
718 Likely Voters
Trump +4
Remington Research Group (R)/Axiom Strategies
Oct 30 – Oct 30
989 Likely Voters
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RE: Link? & a detailing of how the poll was manipulated, please(nm) - mizzou alum 93 MU - 11/3 13:09:28Thanks. That's the first article I've seen that made valid - JeffB MU - 11/3 13:26:25