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The swings are all vastly overstated

Posted on: November 3, 2016 at 10:01:08 CT

Fat Drunk and Stupid MU

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M.O.B. Votes:

it's just non-response bias. Hillary will win by 3-5. Absent an indictment, it's been that way since May.

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MESSAGE THREAD

#SickHillary scandals showing up in polls now - Ragnar Danneskjold MU

- 11/3 09:43:41

RE: #SickHillary scandals showing up in polls now - Tigrrrr! MU

- 11/3 09:57:27

RE: #SickHillary scandals showing up in polls now - 90Tiger MU - 11/3 09:45:27

The only good thing about a Hillary Presidency - JG MU

- 11/3 09:45:10

It doesn't look like we can stop Ragliar's Hillary - JG MU

- 11/3 09:48:44

^^^Talks to himself in a panic over his guarantee Hillary - Ragnar Danneskjold MU

- 11/3 09:49:55

I didn't vote for your Hillary - JG MU

- 11/3 09:50:36

When has Ragnar ever supported Hillary?(nm) - TigerMatt MU

- 11/3 09:52:10

She is perfect for him in every way - JG MU

- 11/3 09:53:59

lol so you just lied - Ragnar Danneskjold MU

- 11/3 09:55:16

Imitation, no matter how delusional - JG MU

- 11/3 10:00:26

You may believe that, but find one post where he supports - TigerMatt MU

- 11/3 09:54:57

I didn't say he supports the perfect for him Hillary - JG MU

- 11/3 09:58:49

Gotcha. (nm) - TigerMatt MU

- 11/3 10:02:37

Jeb chimes in - SuperTone MU

- 11/3 09:44:19

wasn't that the same poll that was way off - Fat Drunk and Stupid MU

- 11/3 09:44:13

Which poll wasn't? They all showed Romney up and he thought - Salty Dog MU

- 11/3 09:51:42

You should look up the RCP averaage on election day - Fat Drunk and Stupid MU

- 11/3 09:53:35

RE: You should look up the RCP averaage on election day - Alferd Packer MU

- 11/3 10:09:12

Thanks for proving my point... - Salty Dog MU

- 11/3 10:01:47

Rasmussen and Gallup numbers were within the - Alferd Packer MU

- 11/3 10:08:33

that's probably the dumbest claim you've made - Fat Drunk and Stupid MU

- 11/3 10:05:21

Thanks, JG... - Salty Dog MU

- 11/3 10:06:16

RE: Thanks, JG... - JG MU

- 11/3 10:27:27

here's another one showing an ever bigger fall - Ragnar Danneskjold MU

- 11/3 09:49:11

Maybe, but almost every poll is showing similar shifts - Sal KC - 11/3 09:45:25

Not really. She's coming back in other polls - Fat Drunk and Stupid MU

- 11/3 09:47:57

Coming back from what? - Sal KC - 11/3 09:51:04

Reuters, ABC - Fat Drunk and Stupid MU

- 11/3 09:51:48

ABC? Perhaps you should look a little closer... - Salty Dog MU

- 11/3 09:56:17

I think you need to - Fat Drunk and Stupid MU

- 11/3 09:58:00

You've been debunked... - Salty Dog MU

- 11/3 10:02:47

Sure sure, - Fat Drunk and Stupid MU

- 11/3 10:04:05

You should stop sucking Hillary's prepuce... - Salty Dog MU

- 11/3 10:08:02

Did they release one today that nobody can find? - Sal KC - 11/3 09:59:00

Look again - Fat Drunk and Stupid MU

- 11/3 09:59:57

What same trap? - Sal KC - 11/3 10:02:19

non-response bias - Fat Drunk and Stupid MU

- 11/3 10:04:47

Ok - Sal KC - 11/3 10:05:35

Hilary is up by 3-5 points - Fat Drunk and Stupid MU

- 11/3 10:07:28

In case you don't know, POTUS is not elected by Popular Vote - Salty Dog MU

- 11/3 10:09:14

can you point it out to me? - SuperTone MU

- 11/3 09:54:43

Your polling analyis is sloppy - Fat Drunk and Stupid MU

- 11/3 09:57:06

lol, that is good stuff.(nm) - SuperTone MU

- 11/3 09:58:26

it's funny cause it's true. (nm) - mizzou alum 93 MU - 11/3 09:59:05

no. look at the graph. they took out the area - SuperTone MU

- 11/3 10:00:10

The swings are all vastly overstated - Fat Drunk and Stupid MU

- 11/3 10:01:08

So those two polls are proving your point? (nm) - Sal KC - 11/3 09:52:35

you said almost every poll - Fat Drunk and Stupid MU

- 11/3 09:55:11

Almost =/= every poll - Sal KC - 11/3 09:58:10

Except today - Fat Drunk and Stupid MU

- 11/3 09:59:05

it's so 2012. - mizzou alum 93 MU - 11/3 09:59:45

there will be in 2020 - DC Jayhawk KU - 11/3 10:23:21

Both sides are rigging as much as they can - JG MU

- 11/3 09:49:56

The polls have been proven to be rigged to this point - SuperTone MU

- 11/3 09:49:05

gallup is rigged. (nm) - mizzou alum 93 MU - 11/3 09:49:53

gallup doesn't select its skew.(nm) - SuperTone MU

- 11/3 09:50:32

your views on polls seem rather convenient - mizzou alum 93 MU - 11/3 09:51:50

how so? I think they are all rigged. - SuperTone MU

- 11/3 09:53:36

gallup is not polling this election(nm) - Fat Drunk and Stupid MU

- 11/3 09:51:12

I'm talking about gallups party affiliation tracking - SuperTone MU

- 11/3 09:53:06

and how do you know that is accurate? - mizzou alum 93 MU - 11/3 09:53:47

You should probably read up on gallup. - SuperTone MU

- 11/3 09:55:13

and you just asked "how so?" when told your views on - mizzou alum 93 MU - 11/3 09:56:46

no. my views have been completely consistent. - SuperTone MU

- 11/3 09:59:46

no, your views are convenient to say the least. - mizzou alum 93 MU - 11/3 10:01:23

it's like you are playing both roles - Fat Drunk and Stupid MU

- 11/3 09:49:49