Welcome Guest

Here you go again (sorry rask, but he asked for it)

Posted on: November 1, 2016 at 22:14:17 CT

JeffB MU

Posts:

72867

Member For:

21.62 yrs

Level:

User

M.O.B. Votes:

He doesn't need PA. He only needs two he doesn't already lead, based upon the most recent polls posted to www.270towin.com . The two he needs in addition to the ones he's currently leading in are Iowa (tied) & Colorado (+1% Hillary lean), per those polls.

The usual caveats apply, such as Trump winning the states where he's currently leading in the polls.


                      	 %	%	%     % lean		       Trump  Hillary	
State	        EV   Hillary  Trump   0ther   Hillary 	  date	         EV	EV	 POLL
DC *           	3	90	10		80	09/06/16	538	3	n/a
Maryland	10	63	27	4	36	10/06/16	535	13	Wash Post/U of Maryland
Massachusetts	11	57	25	11	32	10/27/16	525	24	Suffolk University
Vermont      	3	50	22	16	28	10/27/16	514	27	WCAX
Hawaii    	4	51	25	10	26	09/06/16	511	31	Wash Post/Survey Monkey
New York	29	54	30	7	24	10/19/16	507	60	Siena College
Delaware	3	51	30	10	21	10/03/16	478	63	Univ Delaware
California	55	56	35	8	21	11/01/16	475	118	SurveyUSA
Rhode Island	4	52	32	6	20	10/06/16	420	122	Emerson College
Washington	12	48	31	19	17	10/24/16	416	134	Elway Poll
Connecticut	7	50	35	2	15	09/07/16	404	141	Emerson College
New Jersey	14	51	40	9	11	10/18/16	397	155	Fairleigh Dickenson
Pennsylvania	20	49	38	7	11	11/01/16	383	175	Franklin & Marshall
Illinois	20	49	37.5	8.5	8.4	11/01/16	363	195	Emerson College/Loras College
New Mexico	5	41	33	3	8	10/18/16	343	200	Wash Post/Survey Monkey
Minnesota	10	47	39	7	8	10/24/16	338	210	Minneapolis Star Tribune
Oregon       	7	41	34	25	7	11/01/16	328	217	DHM Research
Michigan	16	50	43	2	7	11/01/16	321	233	Mitchell Research
Virginia	13	48.5	43.5	2	5	11/01/16	305	246	Emerson College/WashPost
Maine        	3	44	39.5	7	4.5	11/01/16	292	249	Emerson College/MPRC
Wisconsin	10	46	42	8	4	10/31/16	289	259	Remington Research
New Hampshire	4	46	43	3	3	10/28/16	279	263	Emerson College
Maine 2nd Dist	1	43.5	42.5	17	1	11/01/16	275	264	Emerson College/MPRC
Colorado	9	45	44	7	1	10/31/16	274	273	Remington Research
Iowa       	6	44	44	7	0	10/27/16	265	279	Quinnipiac
Alaska       	3	36	37	17	-1	10/16/16	259	282	Lake Research
Mississippi	6	43	46	5	-3	09/16/16	256	288	Wash Post/Survey Monkey
North Carolina	15	43	46.5	7.5	-3.5	11/01/16	250	303	Elon University/SurveyUSA
Nevada       	6	44	48	4	-4	10/31/16	235	309	Remington Research
South Carolina	9	38	42	11	-4	09/29/16	229	318	Winthrop University
Arizona       	11	41	45	10	-4	11/01/16	220	329	Data Orbital
Florida       	29	44	48	6	-4	10/31/16	209	358	Remington Research
Ohio      	18	43	48	6	-5	10/31/16	180	376	Remington Research
Georgia        	16	42	49	6	-7	10/31/16	162	392	SurveyUSA & WXIA-TV
Utah      	6	24	32	9	-8	10/30/16	146	398	Dan Jones & Assoc.
North Dakota	3	32	43	16	-11	09/20/16	140	401	DFM Research
Kansas      	6	36	47	8	-11	10/17/16	137	407	SurveyUSA
Indiana       	11	39	50	7	-11	10/31/16	131	418	Monmouth University
Arkansas	6	39.5	51	5.5	-11.5	10/24/16	120	424	avg Hendrick & Remington
Tennessee	11	34.5	46	13	-11.5	10/04/16	114	435	MTSU/Vanderbilt
Texas      	38	39	52	4	-13	11/01/16	103	473	Dixie Strategies
South Dakota	3	35	49	9	-14	11/01/16	65	476	Nielson Brothers
Louisiana	8	35	49	7	-14	10/28/16	62	484	University of New Orleans
Missouri	10	38	52	7	-14	11/01/16	54	494	Monmouth University
Montana        	3	27	43	21	-16	10/25/16	44	497	Montana State U
Kentucky	8	37	54	7	-17	11/01/16	41	505	Western Kentucky U
Idaho      	4	29	48	7	-19	10/27/16	33	509	Rasmussen
Alabama      	9	31	53	6	-22	09/06/16	29	518	Wash Post/Survey Monkey
West Virginia	5	27	52	5	-25	09/06/16	20	523	Wash Post/Survey Monkey
Nebraska	5	29	56	7	-27	09/28/16	15	528	Emerson College
Oklahoma	7	30	60	5	-30	10/23/16	10	535	Sooner Poll
Wyoming      	3	19	54	15	-35	09/21/16	3	538	DFM Research