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The FBI probe could potentially flip Utah from Trump to McMu
Posted on: October 31, 2016 at 11:45:48 CT
JeffB MU
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llin if more defecting Hillary voters vote for McMullin than Trump instead, which seems to be a fairly likely scenario.
If that happened, taking away 6 electoral votes from Trump, he would need to pick up at least 2 more electoral votes. Per that table, Pennsylvania would be next on the list with a 2% Hellary lean, but Pennsylvania is probably only next on the list because it has a more recent poll than some of the other states with a little bigger Hellary lead.
Hellary had an 8% lead in Pennsylvania on the YouGov/CBS poll released yesterday. If Hellary dropped 5% to 6% in other states, Pennsylvania probably wouldn't be needed.
If that happened, taking away 6 electoral votes from Trump, he would need to pick up at least 2 more electoral votes. Per that table, Pennsylvania would be next on the list with a 2% Hellary lean, but Pennsylvania is probably only next on the list because it has a more recent poll than some of the other states with a little bigger Hellary lead.
Hellary had an 8% lead in Pennsylvania on the YouGov/CBS poll released yesterday. If Hellary dropped 5% to 6% in other states, Pennsylvania probably wouldn't be needed.
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The FBI probe could potentially flip Utah from Trump to McMu - JeffB MU - 10/31 11:45:48