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States Trump needs to win per latest polls on 270towin.com
Posted on: October 29, 2016 at 17:44:38 CT
JeffB MU
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http://www.270towin.com/2016-polls-clinton-trump/
These are sorted by the states with the highest % Hillary lean (5th column) at the top.
These were taken before the FBI reopened the investigation into Hillary's obstruction of justice & perjury charges, but per these numbers he would need to win all of the states at the bottom of the list, which are leaning his way, then work his way up the list to North Carolina to win.
He would theoretically need to win Ohio & Iowa, where they are currently tied per the latest poll, as well as Florida +1 Hillary, Colorado & Nevada +2 Hillary, & North Carolina +3 Hillary.
It should be a lot more doable now, even if Hillary's latest legal troubles only move the needle a couple of points in Trump's direction.
These are sorted by the states with the highest % Hillary lean (5th column) at the top.
These were taken before the FBI reopened the investigation into Hillary's obstruction of justice & perjury charges, but per these numbers he would need to win all of the states at the bottom of the list, which are leaning his way, then work his way up the list to North Carolina to win.
He would theoretically need to win Ohio & Iowa, where they are currently tied per the latest poll, as well as Florida +1 Hillary, Colorado & Nevada +2 Hillary, & North Carolina +3 Hillary.
It should be a lot more doable now, even if Hillary's latest legal troubles only move the needle a couple of points in Trump's direction.
Electoral % % % Hillary total EV total EV
State Votes Hillary Trump Lean 0ther date Trump Hillary poll
DC * 3 90 10 80 0 09/06/16 538 3
Maryland 10 63 27 36 4 10/06/16 535 13 Wash Post/U of Maryland
Massachusetts 11 57 25 32 11 10/27/16 525 24 Suffolk University
Vermont 3 50 22 28 16 10/27/16 514 27 WCAX
Hawaii 4 51 25 26 10 09/06/16 511 31 Wash Post/Survey Monkey
California 55 54 28 26 8 10/27/16 507 86 PPIC
New York 29 54 30 24 7 10/19/16 452 115 Siena College
Delaware 3 51 30 21 10 10/03/16 423 118 Univ Delaware
Rhode Island 4 52 32 20 6 10/06/16 420 122 Emerson College
Washington 12 48 31 17 19 10/24/16 416 134 Elway Poll
Connecticut 7 50 35 15 2 09/07/16 404 141 Emerson College
Illinois 20 51 36 15 5 10/24/16 397 161 Victory Research
New Jersey 14 51 40 11 9 10/18/16 377 175 Fairleigh Dickenson
Oregon 7 46 36 10 8 10/18/16 363 182 KGW/Oregonian
New Mexico 5 41 33 8 3 10/18/16 356 187 Wash Post/Survey Monkey
Minnesota 10 47 39 8 7 10/24/16 351 197 Minneapolis Star Tribune
Virginia 13 46 39 7 9 10/28/16 341 210 Christopher Newport Univ
Michigan 16 50 43 7 1 10/28/16 328 226 Emerson College
Maine 4 42 36 6 9 10/21/16 312 230 MPRC
Wisconsin 10 48 42 6 0 10/24/16 308 240 Emerson College
Pennsylvania 20 45 39 6 6 10/29/16 298 260 Morning Call/Muhlenberg
New Hampshire 4 46 43 3 3 10/28/16 278 264 Emerson College
North Carolina 15 48 45 3 3 10/27/16 274 279 Emerson College Trump wins
Nevada 6 44 42 2 11 10/29/16 259 285 Emerson College
Colorado 9 45 43 2 7 10/24/16 253 294 Remington Research
Florida 29 46 45 1 2 10/29/16 244 323 Emerson College
Iowa 6 44 44 0 7 10/27/16 215 329 Quinnipiac
Ohio 18 45 45 0 3 10/29/16 209 347 Remington Research tied
Alaska 3 36 37 -1 17 10/16/16 191 350 Lake Research
Georgia 16 43 44 -1 5 10/27/16 188 366 Quinnipiac
Arizona 11 40 42 -2 11 10/28/16 172 377 Data Orbital
Mississippi 6 43 46 -3 5 09/16/16 161 383 Wash Post/Survey Monkey
Texas 38 42 45 -3 4 10/27/16 155 421 University of Texas
Utah 6 28 32 -4 7 10/26/16 117 427 Rasmussen
South Carolina 9 38 42 -4 11 09/29/16 111 436 Winthrop University
Missouri 10 42 47 -5 7 10/27/16 102 446 Mason-Dixon
Indiana 11 37 43 -6 11 10/20/16 92 457 WISH-TV/Ball St.
South Dakota 3 37 44 -7 12 10/25/16 81 460 Mason-Dixon
North Dakota 3 32 43 -11 16 09/20/16 78 463 DFM Research
Kansas 6 36 47 -11 8 10/17/16 75 469 SurveyUSA
Arkansas 6 39.5 51 -11.5 5.5 10/24/16 69 475 avg Hendrick & Remington
Tennessee 11 34.5 46 -11.5 13 10/04/16 63 486 MTSU/Vanderbilt
Louisiana 8 35 49 -14 7 10/28/16 52 494 University of New Orleans
Montana 3 27 43 -16 21 10/25/16 44 497 Montana State U
Idaho 4 29 48 -19 7 10/27/16 41 501 Rasmussen
Alabama 9 31 53 -22 6 09/06/16 37 510 Wash Post/Survey Monkey
Kentucky 8 29 52 -23 7 09/06/16 28 518 Wash Post/Survey Monkey
West Virginia 5 27 52 -25 5 09/06/16 20 523 Wash Post/Survey Monkey
Nebraska 5 29 56 -27 7 09/28/16 15 528 Emerson College
Oklahoma 7 30 60 -30 5 10/23/16 10 535 Sooner Poll
Wyoming 3 19 54 -35 15 09/21/16 3 538 DFM Research
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States Trump needs to win per latest polls on 270towin.com - JeffB MU - 10/29 17:44:38