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MizzouRah's Picks Week IX

Posted on: October 27, 2016 at 11:49:07 CT
MizzouRah MU
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While it was a horrible week for the Missouri Tigers last week, it was another okay week for the picks as I went 4-3 ATS to climb up to an almost profitable 26-24 on the year ATS. Just to keep track, I am 46-12 just picking winners straight up on the year.

Once again, I have let the week get away from me a bit so I need to hurry up and get these picks posted on Thursday before games get started!

Kentucky (+5) at MIZZOU - I don't know if any of you are familiar with Scott Wetzel but he is one of the better sports talk show hosts on the radio out there. HE always likes to give his "opposite" picks suggesting that when Vegas really wants you to play a side on a game, it's for a reason and you should bet the game the other way. The Auburn line moving up and up last week when all the money was on Arkansas reinforced this to me. I rarely do this myself but this line makes zero sense to me (but the MTSU line was the same deal) so what the heck.

First of all, I am 0-6 picking MU games ATS this year so I need to try something. We have injuries they are figuring their injury problems out. They have momentum, we have zero momentum. The game is at 11 AM and the crowd won't be very excited. What the hell, I'll take Missouri but if you bet on this game you probably have real issues.

Pick MIZZOU I guess! 34-23

HERE IS A POSTSCRIPT WHICH HAS BEEN BOTHERING ME FOR A WHILE

By the way, this stupid 180 mile an hour offense AT ALL TIMES is not only leading to five hour games which may keep some of your fans away (I realize this really shouldn't affect your strategy but still, my Dad is fairly old and he can't get to his seat an hour early to avoid getting bumped and then sit through a five hour game) but THIS IS WHY SO MANY PEOPLE ARE GETTING INJURED. IF YOU PLAY 50% MORE SNAPS THAN OTHER TEAMS YOU ARE GOING TO HAVE MORE INJURIES. Sorry, I had to get that off of my chest.

Tennessee (-13.5) at South Carolina - Bye week for Tennessee into the easier part of their schedule. They SHOULD be focused (with UT, you never know) and I've done well fading USC games.

PICK TENNESSEE 31-7

Georgia +7.5 VS. Florida (Cocktail Party) - I know everyone is down on Georgia after losing to Vandy but that really was kind of a fluke if you look at the total yards, flow of the game, etc. While both teams are coming off bye weeks, I think the motivation edge is with Georgia and I think they can actually run the ball on Florida. Because of that, give me the points.

Pick UGA who loses 28-27

Nebraska (+9) at Wisconsin - That Purdue game went almost exactly as I predicted. You can't read too much into a fired up Purdue team playing for their recently fired coach. Wisconsin doesn't score that much against strong teams so again, I love the points here.

NEBRASKA is the pick, let's say they lose 21-20

Washington State (-13) at Oregon State - Maybe I am just picking this game because I love what Mike Leach said about Cub fans but I really don't think the OSU defense can do enough to keep this one close. They tacked on some meaningless scores vs. Washington but were really destroyed in that game. WAZZU is playing at a very high level.

WASHINGTON STATE is the pick 41-17

K-State (-6.5) at Iowa State - It's hard to give points when betting on K-State, they have managed to make their last two wins closer than they really should have been. Given the history of this series in Ames and the effort ISU has been playing with, I really like the home team here to get the backdoor cover but not win which is a small window. The nature of K-State running the clock so much leads to closer games on average.

Pick ISU who loses 24-20

Middle Tennessee (-17) at Florida International - MTSU is a good team, they were not better than I expected though, MU really did blow that game with stupid penalties and turnovers but MTSU also played a rather clean game and deserved to win (although I could complain about some brutal kind of one sided calls late in the game but anyway)... I do think they are a far superior team here and will build off their momentum.

PICK MTSU 45-17

UCONN (+7) at ECU - ECU just isn't any good. I don't know if UCONN will be affected by (not) losing that "Civil Conflict" trophy or the embarrassment it caused but from what I can tell they are the superior team here.

PICK UCONN outright 20-17

I am going to stop there Baylor seems just TOO obvious and Clemson should win but the line keeps moving the wrong way.

That's all for this week! Good luck to your (non Wildcat) team!
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MizzouRah's Picks Week IX - MizzouRah MU - 10/27 11:49:07




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