States Trump needs to flip to win per electoralvote.com

Posted on: October 21, 2016 at 08:44:31 CT

http://www.electoral-vote.com/

Electoral votes (279 needed to win)
350 Hillary
188 Trump

It looks like moving the vote +5% in Trump's favor in the top 6 states he has a decent chance at would propel Trump to the presidency if the polls used by electoralvote.com & the other states remain "as is". I think most of the polls have about a 5% margin of error, fwiw.

They are sorted based on the lowest % lean towards Hillary.

About the only poll updated from yesterday for this list was Ohio which moved from a tie to +2 for Trump.

To win he would need to move Arizona 1+%, Nevada, NC, & Florida 3+%, Georgia 4+% & Pennsylvania 5+% all other states voting per the polls being used.

	        % lean           EV       EV     EV
               Clinton	 EV    total	Clinton	Trump
Arizona	          1	 11	 11	  339	 199
Nevada	          3	  6	 17	  333	 205
North Carolina	  3	 15	 32	  318	 220
Florida	          3	 29	 61	  289	 249
Georgia	          4	 16	 77	  273	 265  Hillary wins 
Pennsylvania	  5	 20	 97	  253	 285  Trump wins
Maine	          8	  4	101	  249	 289
New Mexico	  8	  5	106	  244	 294
Colorado	  8	  9	115	  235	 303
Wisconsin	  8	 10	125	  225	 313
Oregon	          9	  7	132	  218	 320
Virginia	  9	 13	145	  205	 333 

Edited by JeffB at 08:51:54 on 10/21/16