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What is the margin of error for most of those polls?
Posted on: October 18, 2016 at 18:18:51 CT
JeffB MU
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3% to 6%?
IF all of those original numbers were accurate, but Trump voters showed up in greater numbers or the polls were consistently off in Hillary's favor by say 3% it would already be fairly close, Trump would pick up 3 states & 44 delegates & Hillary would lose 44, leaving her ahead by 308 to 230 delegates. If Trump did better in the final debate &/or Hillary had another scandal or exhibited a significant health event before the election & Trump picked up 2% across the board Trump would pick up another 3 states and another 39 delegates while Hillary lost another 39 that would put them in a dead tie.
If it stayed there the Republican House of Representatives would select the next president.
If one of Maine's districts voted Trump he would get an extra delegate putting him over the top.
Or if New Jersey or Wisconsin flipped as well that would put Trump over the top.
It isn't over yet. The polls had Brexit losing handily and yet it won handily. The polls aren't always as accurate as people like to think.
IF all of those original numbers were accurate, but Trump voters showed up in greater numbers or the polls were consistently off in Hillary's favor by say 3% it would already be fairly close, Trump would pick up 3 states & 44 delegates & Hillary would lose 44, leaving her ahead by 308 to 230 delegates. If Trump did better in the final debate &/or Hillary had another scandal or exhibited a significant health event before the election & Trump picked up 2% across the board Trump would pick up another 3 states and another 39 delegates while Hillary lost another 39 that would put them in a dead tie.
If it stayed there the Republican House of Representatives would select the next president.
If one of Maine's districts voted Trump he would get an extra delegate putting him over the top.
Or if New Jersey or Wisconsin flipped as well that would put Trump over the top.
It isn't over yet. The polls had Brexit losing handily and yet it won handily. The polls aren't always as accurate as people like to think.
Please explain why this message is being reported.
MESSAGE THREAD
What is the margin of error for most of those polls? - JeffB MU - 10/18 18:18:51the polls are heavily weighted Democrat in ways they have - Butcher of Bakersfield STL - 10/18 18:47:56