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Hillary will underperform the polls, Trump will overperform.

Posted on: October 13, 2016 at 09:59:34 CT
MUTGR MU
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"...his is an interesting statistical analysis that backs up my theory of the election, that turnout is the key and that Hillary faces greater danger than polling indicates because of her enthusiasm gap. That the danger is that because of her enthusiasm gap the 2016 general election could be closer to the turnout pattern of midterm elections than most presidential elections have been. If my theory of 2016 is correct Hillary will underperform compared to her pre-voting polling numbers and Bernie and Cruz, and possibly Trump, will overperform and receive a higher percentage of the actual vote than pre-voting polling suggests."

Edited by MUTGR at 09:59:52 on 10/13/16
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Brent Budowsky - TheShoe STL - 10/13 09:45:56
     Interesting. Still months ago before Trump emerged as - hefeweizen MU - 10/13 09:48:37
          indeed, check this - TheShoe STL - 10/13 09:50:28
               RE: indeed, check this - 90Tiger MU - 10/13 10:00:26
               Goddam, they were in full on panic mode(nm) - hefeweizen MU - 10/13 09:52:35
                    imagine where they are now - TheShoe STL - 10/13 09:58:40
                         One thing that worries me is that IF the orange man does - hefeweizen MU - 10/13 10:00:48
                              C'mon man - mizzoumurfkc MU - 10/13 10:38:46
                              Here's the thing - TheShoe STL - 10/13 10:05:54
                                   idk. I just think that most countries have experienced major - hefeweizen MU - 10/13 10:10:42
                                   C'mon man - mizzoumurfkc MU - 10/13 10:10:00
                                        To some degree you are seeing it. BLM - tman KC - 10/13 10:14:51
                         Hillary will underperform the polls, Trump will overperform. - MUTGR MU - 10/13 09:59:34
                              Yes to your subject line, the question is "how much". Trum - 90Tiger MU - 10/13 10:01:26
                                   too bad he has less ground staff - mizzou alum 93 MU - 10/13 10:08:12
                                        he has the entire election - TheShoe STL - 10/13 10:09:04
                                             his absence of ground game - DC Jayhawk KU - 10/13 10:40:02
                                             it will. - mizzou alum 93 MU - 10/13 10:10:43
                                                  Romney lost - TheShoe STL - 10/13 10:13:28
                                                       romney lost because he was a horrible candidate - mizzou alum 93 MU - 10/13 10:14:59
                                                       bingo(nm) - hefeweizen MU - 10/13 10:13:47
                                   RE: Yes to your subject line, the question is "how much". Trum - MUTGR MU - 10/13 10:07:43
                                        i think those emails are old, not current (nm) - 90Tiger MU - 10/13 10:13:17
                                             RE: i think those emails are old, not current (nm) - MUTGR MU - 10/13 11:38:13




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