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From March 2016
Posted on: October 13, 2016 at 09:25:51 CT
TheShoe STL
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https://wikileaks.org/podesta-emails/emailid/7273
Sorry for paraphrasing as I typed as he talked. Frank Luntz is calling 3-1 or 3-2 by Clinton in all States (Yuge wins) but VT. MA & CO likely Sanders but close and can't call MN or AL. On Repubs Trump wins big: Kasich does ok VT & MA, Cruz wins TX & possibly Ark, Rubio has shot in VA & OKL. Trump landslide huge delegate lead as unlikely Cruz or Rubio gets 20% in most states. Luntz thinks Bloomberg wants to come in because of Trump but stays out due to Clinton landslide- he must decide by Mar 15 due to Tx. Tons of business execs on call showing Bloomberg support & calling him directly . Says Trump will move to upper 30s and can only lose Repub primary if 1 on 1 election but with Rubio staying in til FL & Kasich til Ohio, it is now Trumps. Question in Trump v Clinton- Thinks closer than any national polls thinks because blue collar Dems will go Trump and thus viable in national election (toss up) even though Clinton does much better with all women & minorities. Thinks Senate goes to Dems. Many disagree on his Trump viability call as Trump is change of historic size and Dems will work much harder to win and many Repubs will be sidelined. Others challenge this because in primary Repub GOTV was much better. Many execs saying all out war against Trump will start in DC because of down ticket- he still doesn't see any pathway for alternative. This call had more people on than any before which is a sign that execs are now nervous Trump is real.
Sorry for paraphrasing as I typed as he talked. Frank Luntz is calling 3-1 or 3-2 by Clinton in all States (Yuge wins) but VT. MA & CO likely Sanders but close and can't call MN or AL. On Repubs Trump wins big: Kasich does ok VT & MA, Cruz wins TX & possibly Ark, Rubio has shot in VA & OKL. Trump landslide huge delegate lead as unlikely Cruz or Rubio gets 20% in most states. Luntz thinks Bloomberg wants to come in because of Trump but stays out due to Clinton landslide- he must decide by Mar 15 due to Tx. Tons of business execs on call showing Bloomberg support & calling him directly . Says Trump will move to upper 30s and can only lose Repub primary if 1 on 1 election but with Rubio staying in til FL & Kasich til Ohio, it is now Trumps. Question in Trump v Clinton- Thinks closer than any national polls thinks because blue collar Dems will go Trump and thus viable in national election (toss up) even though Clinton does much better with all women & minorities. Thinks Senate goes to Dems. Many disagree on his Trump viability call as Trump is change of historic size and Dems will work much harder to win and many Repubs will be sidelined. Others challenge this because in primary Repub GOTV was much better. Many execs saying all out war against Trump will start in DC because of down ticket- he still doesn't see any pathway for alternative. This call had more people on than any before which is a sign that execs are now nervous Trump is real.
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From March 2016 - TheShoe STL - 10/13 09:25:51