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But 538 massages the numbers to try and make them more

Posted on: October 10, 2016 at 09:19:45 CT

JeffB MU

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accurate.

That adds an additional element of risk that their algorithms may distort the numbers rather then improve them.

Edited by JeffB at 09:19:59 on 10/10/16

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Poll watching right now to see a trend. - Toger STL - 10/10 08:36:43

Trump supporters think a debate is about telling absurd lies - Mr. Orange SU - 10/10 09:08:46

Absurd? How about blaming something on Abraham Lincoln..... - JoplinTiger07 MU - 10/10 09:14:18

Well, that settles it. Case closed! - Mr. Orange SU - 10/10 09:22:51

You will see downtrend first related to video - tman KC - 10/10 08:57:04

Sounds about right. Trump's chances between 10-20% IMO. - JoplinTiger07 MU - 10/10 08:49:23

Probably so. I would expect PredictIt to show a more - JeffB MU

- 10/10 08:48:42

538 shows a fairly rapid response. - Toger STL - 10/10 08:58:59

But 538 massages the numbers to try and make them more - JeffB MU

- 10/10 09:19:45

No they dont. It's math. They've been - Toger STL - 10/10 09:22:28

Algorithms are indeed math. They DO adjust and weight - JeffB MU

- 10/10 09:33:29

We will wait for webster to give us polling data that - hokie VT - 10/10 08:38:47