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fivethirtyeight.com gives Hillary 73.2% chance vs 26.8% for

Posted on: September 1, 2016 at 09:53:35 CT
JeffB MU
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Trump

Yesterday it was:

73.8% Hillary
26.1% Trump

They pegged her biggest lead on Aug 14 at:

89.2% Hillary
10.8% Trump

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/#scenarios
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Trump only up 2.6% today in LA Times poll... - JeffB MU - 9/1 09:38:30
     The LA times poll uses past election results and past - MrBlueSky MU - 9/1 10:01:47
          Not as a primary indicator.. but a weighting factor. - Spanky KU - 9/1 10:08:14
          is this not the rolling poll that contacts the same 7000 - SuperTone MU - 9/1 10:06:55
               They have a panel of 5,500-6,000 and 3,200 - Spanky KU - 9/1 10:13:50
               3000. (nm) - mizzou alum 93 MU - 9/1 10:07:18
     Do you understand the LATimes poll? - Roberts MU - 9/1 09:58:55
          Yes I do. It has some differences, some of which appear to - JeffB MU - 9/1 10:13:35
     fivethirtyeight.com gives Hillary 73.2% chance vs 26.8% for - JeffB MU - 9/1 09:53:35
          Should be 90-10, but enough idiot yahoos in the US . . .(nm) - raskolnikov MU - 9/1 10:02:25
               and voters without the slightest vetting on moral issues are - JeffB MU - 9/1 10:15:00
                    Couldn't tell you. I am not a Hillary "supporter" - raskolnikov MU - 9/1 10:17:02
                         You defend her at every opportunity. Will you vote for her?(nm) - JeffB MU - 9/1 10:19:56
                              I will not ruin my No Clinton Vote record, so no - raskolnikov MU - 9/1 10:22:48
                                   You are so full of **** - TIGERROAR MU - 9/1 11:23:16
                                        What are you talking about? (nm) - raskolnikov MU - 9/1 12:18:05
                                   Lmfao (nm) - pickle MU - 9/1 10:26:30
                                   Wow. I'm surprised, but good for you, even though Johnson - JeffB MU - 9/1 10:24:50
                                        i'd say bob barr holds that distinction. (nm) - mizzou alum 93 MU - 9/1 10:47:34
                                        there is a 0% chance he votes for anyone but Hillary(nm) - Ragnar Danneskjold MU - 9/1 10:37:52
                                        He's lying(nm) - hefeweizen MU - 9/1 10:25:12
                                             Are you lying rask? (nm) - JeffB MU - 9/1 10:33:29
               yahoos are the ones who are against a corrupt politician - SuperTone MU - 9/1 10:06:01
     Not much change on Predict It betting lately... - JeffB MU - 9/1 09:45:29
          those sites are sellouts - FootballRefugee MU - 9/1 09:50:48
               You mean the owners of Predict It? I don't think that would - JeffB MU - 9/1 09:55:48
     i expect the mexico bump to start tomorrow.(nm) - SuperTone MU - 9/1 09:40:26




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