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WVU favored by 10. Not for nothing.

Posted on: August 27, 2016 at 20:27:23 CT
ERB KC
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(Per ESPN)

Our preseason look at West Virginia:

Key losses: RB Wendell Smallwood, WR Jordan Thompson, OT Marquis Lucas, NT Kyle Rose, LB Nick Kwiatkoski, LB Shaq Petteway, LB Jared Barber, S KJ Dillon, S Karl Joseph, CB Terrell Chestnut, CB Daryl Worley

Key returners: QB Skyler Howard, RB Rushel Shell, WR Shelton Gibson, WR Daikiel Shorts, OG Kyle Bosch, OG Adam Pankey, C Tyler Orlosky, DE Noble Nwachukwu, DE Christian Brown, S Jarrod Harper, S Jeremy Tyler

Preseason storyline: Can the defense reload? Departures hit the Mountaineers hard even before junior safety Dravon Askew-Henry was lost for the season with a knee injury this month. Nwachukwu, a preseason All-Big 12 pick, notched 8.5 sacks a year ago, but WVU must replace the majority of its front six -- including a strong trio of linebackers that played a huge role as the Mountaineers surrendered just 24.6 points per game a year ago, second in the league to Oklahoma.

Coordinator Tony Gibson runs a sound 3-3-5 system suited well to slow the high-octane offenses in the Big 12. His unit ranked second nationally in interceptions, fifth in forced turnovers and eighth in opponent three-and-out series last year.

Worley and Chestnut formed an impressive duo last year. With the likes of Baker Mayfield, Seth Russell and Patrick Mahomes set to take aim at the WVU secondary, quick progress at corner is a huge priority. The group includes seniors Nana Kyeremeh and Rasul Douglas in addition to transfers Antonio Crawford and Maurice Fleming.

Most interesting position: It might be the aforementioned cornerback scramble, but we can’t ignore the offense, where West Virginia is loaded with talent and experience.

Try to find a weak spot. It’s not there.

Let’s focus on the most impressive area, which is the interior of the offensive line, manned by Bosch, a preseason All-Big 12 pick. Pankey, who is suspended through at least the opener next week at Missouri, and Orlosky both received all-league consideration for our team.

At full strength, they are equipped to open holes for Shell, the former Pitt back, and provide time for Howard to pick holes in leaky Big 12 secondaries.

Game that matters most: No game jumps off the schedule. After all, they all count the same. The nonconference slate is a challenge, featuring Mizzou before a Week 4 meeting with BYU at the Washington Redskins’ FedEx Field. But the most meaningful games come in Big 12 play. So we’re picking a Week 8 home matchup with TCU.

The Horned Frogs are a darkhorse league-title candidate, and they played three entertaining games with WVU before a 40-10 TCU rout last year in Fort Worth. These went to overtime in 2012 and 2013, with the road team winning each time; the Horned Frogs then won 31-30 at Mountaineer Field in 2014.

Something about the timing of this game, early in the league season, makes it likely to identify the Mountaineers as a contender or pretender in the Big 12.

Prediction: West Virginia is sneaky good. Many preseason picks slot the Mountaineers in the bottom half of the Big 12. (The media slotted them seventh, though ESPN The Magazine placed West Virginia at fourth.)

Keeping with this theme, Howard might rank as the Big 12’s most underrated quarterback. We envision an excellent senior season for him that that features a hot start as the Mountaineers arrive at the aforementioned TCU game with one loss. From there, it’s going to be a wild ride. And West Virginia’s success will depend in large part on the maturity of its defense.

With TCU, Oklahoma and Baylor at home, the Mountaineers will pull at least one upset and get to nine wins for the first time since 2011 to provide some breathing room for Holgorsen.
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WVU board prediction thread - SuperTone MU - 8/27 19:34:42
     Its hilarious how many pts they think they will score. - MKrip MU - 8/28 23:44:35
     they scored 10 points on Demontie last year - EdensRemorse SMS - 8/27 20:05:16
          Ill be there too..hope for a happy ride back to the D. - Mizzou1990 MU - 8/27 22:54:18
          WVU favored by 10. Not for nothing. - ERB KC - 8/27 20:27:23
               Vegas Is wrong a lot the first week of CFB - cal MU - 8/27 21:13:49
                    RE: Vegas is wrong a lot the first week of CFB(nm) - cal MU - 8/27 21:14:48
                         You can say *that* again.(nm) - MOOZOO MU - 8/27 21:20:27
               Key quote: "Can the defense reload?" - MOOZOO MU - 8/27 21:11:24
               But they are horrible - MakeShift MU - 8/27 20:40:09
                    No, our offense last year was horrible - Maty Football KC - 8/27 21:13:28
                         MU offense was historically bad last year(nm) - ERB KC - 8/27 21:31:56
                    KU is horrible. E. Michigan is horrible. - ERB KC - 8/27 20:47:03
                    Skylar Howard > Drew Lock - ERB KC - 8/27 20:42:41
     Apparently our defense is "decent" - SoCal MIZ NAVY - 8/27 20:03:33
          nm - Cosmo MU - 8/28 11:19:50
          all the more reason to be there in person ;) - EdensRemorse SMS - 8/27 20:05:57
     I'm okay with their cautious optimism. Most think it will - Air Force Tiger MU - 8/27 19:58:10
          did you not bother with the next page tab? - EdensRemorse SMS - 8/27 20:06:43
     Whether we give up 40 or 50 seems to be the question... - DrViagra UM - 8/27 19:54:59




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