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MizzouRah's Picks Week IV
Posted on: September 20, 2016 at 19:18:14 CT
MizzouRah MU
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We had our first losing week of the season this week but we aren't exactly raking in the "toothpicks" either. We went 2-3-1 ATS to put us at 10-9 on the year vs. the Vegas number.
We did go 7-0 straight up (which I readily admit isn't worth all that much) to keep that number looking good at 20-4 on the year. I'm working late today and I need to get home so I'm going to keep this post a bit short.
MIZZOU vs. Delaware State - Man, it was fun to be at a great atmosphere in Columbia last weekend but SO FRUSTRATING. I'm not going to get into the frustrating details of that Georgia game because it's kind of old news now but now that I've calmed down a bit I can look at this game as a sign of progress with the team. Delaware State is almost certainly the worst team to ever visit MU in my lifetime. They lost to Delaware by 42 and Monomouth (are they FCS?) by 14. I really want to see what the line will be on Saturday. I'll guess 57 and still take MU with the new faster paced offense.
MU WINS 73-3 (NOT AN OFFICIAL ATS PICK)
Meanwhile, K-State hosts Coach Stec and the Fighting Teachers from Springfield, MO. I may actually go to this game. Stec has the Bears playing better but this one is probably another 40-50 point whitewash. I tease the folks in SW MO but I hope Coach Steckel gets them winning. They sure are in a tough conference.
KSU wins
I had a hard time finding ATS picks this week but we have six games I'm going with
Georgia (+7) at Ole Miss - Early game in Oxford and everyone is asking "what's wrong with Georgia"? It's more about what was right with MU last game. We are coming along and Georgia will be just fine. They have a lot of talent (as does Mississippi) and I see the upset here as we see no lead is safe for the Rebels. I like the road dog in the 11 AM games.
PICK GEORGIA 38-34
Arkansas (+6) at Texas A&M - This one is a bit tougher to pick as there is no doubt A&M is playing really well. Still, I like what I am seeing from Arkansas and they will slow the game down a bit so I feel good about taking the points.
ARKANSAS is the pick but they lose 28-27
South Carolina (+2) at Kentucky - So Kentucky played pretty awful for the dominant part of another game last week but South Carolina was SO fortunate to win last week. ECU had horrible execution in the red zone. I know it's crazy to bet on an error prone Wildcat team but I really think South Carolina is that bad and they have been really lucky.
KENTUCKY wins 27-17
Vandy (+7) at WKU - This is still kind of a big game for Western KY. and Vandy showed some signs of life vs. MTSU just to revert back to being pathetic on offense vs. Georgia Tech. Less than 300 yards of offense and less than 100 yards passing? That won't work.
I'll take WESTERN KY. 38-20
San Jose State (+6.5) at Iowa State - Iowa State isn't very good but I think the effort is there for the new coach. Since wins will be hard to come by I think they fully take advantage here.
ISU is the pick 31-17
Idaho (+14) at UNLV - Find a horrible team and bet against them I say (Charlotte was the plan but maybe people are figuring them out, did you see the EMU kickoff from the Charlotte 20 yard line by the way? Look it up!)... Idaho is losing FBS status and is awful. Let's see if UNLV lets me down again this week.
UNLV is the pick - they win 48-21
Sorry to my Nebraska friends... I have been burned too many times on this Northwestern game to make a pick!
That's all for this week! Good luck to your (non-Hornet) team!
We did go 7-0 straight up (which I readily admit isn't worth all that much) to keep that number looking good at 20-4 on the year. I'm working late today and I need to get home so I'm going to keep this post a bit short.
MIZZOU vs. Delaware State - Man, it was fun to be at a great atmosphere in Columbia last weekend but SO FRUSTRATING. I'm not going to get into the frustrating details of that Georgia game because it's kind of old news now but now that I've calmed down a bit I can look at this game as a sign of progress with the team. Delaware State is almost certainly the worst team to ever visit MU in my lifetime. They lost to Delaware by 42 and Monomouth (are they FCS?) by 14. I really want to see what the line will be on Saturday. I'll guess 57 and still take MU with the new faster paced offense.
MU WINS 73-3 (NOT AN OFFICIAL ATS PICK)
Meanwhile, K-State hosts Coach Stec and the Fighting Teachers from Springfield, MO. I may actually go to this game. Stec has the Bears playing better but this one is probably another 40-50 point whitewash. I tease the folks in SW MO but I hope Coach Steckel gets them winning. They sure are in a tough conference.
KSU wins
I had a hard time finding ATS picks this week but we have six games I'm going with
Georgia (+7) at Ole Miss - Early game in Oxford and everyone is asking "what's wrong with Georgia"? It's more about what was right with MU last game. We are coming along and Georgia will be just fine. They have a lot of talent (as does Mississippi) and I see the upset here as we see no lead is safe for the Rebels. I like the road dog in the 11 AM games.
PICK GEORGIA 38-34
Arkansas (+6) at Texas A&M - This one is a bit tougher to pick as there is no doubt A&M is playing really well. Still, I like what I am seeing from Arkansas and they will slow the game down a bit so I feel good about taking the points.
ARKANSAS is the pick but they lose 28-27
South Carolina (+2) at Kentucky - So Kentucky played pretty awful for the dominant part of another game last week but South Carolina was SO fortunate to win last week. ECU had horrible execution in the red zone. I know it's crazy to bet on an error prone Wildcat team but I really think South Carolina is that bad and they have been really lucky.
KENTUCKY wins 27-17
Vandy (+7) at WKU - This is still kind of a big game for Western KY. and Vandy showed some signs of life vs. MTSU just to revert back to being pathetic on offense vs. Georgia Tech. Less than 300 yards of offense and less than 100 yards passing? That won't work.
I'll take WESTERN KY. 38-20
San Jose State (+6.5) at Iowa State - Iowa State isn't very good but I think the effort is there for the new coach. Since wins will be hard to come by I think they fully take advantage here.
ISU is the pick 31-17
Idaho (+14) at UNLV - Find a horrible team and bet against them I say (Charlotte was the plan but maybe people are figuring them out, did you see the EMU kickoff from the Charlotte 20 yard line by the way? Look it up!)... Idaho is losing FBS status and is awful. Let's see if UNLV lets me down again this week.
UNLV is the pick - they win 48-21
Sorry to my Nebraska friends... I have been burned too many times on this Northwestern game to make a pick!
That's all for this week! Good luck to your (non-Hornet) team!
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MizzouRah's Picks Week IV - MizzouRah MU - 9/20 19:18:14