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WEEK 13 SEC picks and other games...Turkey day edition

Posted on: November 22, 2017 at 10:02:12 CT
qbbearcat MU
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Hit on the Tigers again…as they continue to roll and Vegas continues to give away money. Small win this week. In SEC games we were 8-1 SU and 2-2 ATS +1.6U and in other games we were 5-2 SU and 4-3 ATS +1.2U. Hope everyone has a good Turkey day…on to this weeks picks! Only 3 losing weeks on the year…time to finish strong!

SEC PICKS: 87-17 SU 26-11 ATS +32.8U (70%)
OTHER PICKS: 62-19 SU 42-34-4 ATS +.9U (55%)
TOTAL: 149-36 SU; 68-45-4 ATS +33.7U (60%)

SIDES: 53-35-4 +28.1U
TOTALS: 15-10 +5.6 U

5U PLAYS: 2-4-1 -12U
4U PLAYS: 4-4 -1.6U
3U PLAYS: 15-7-1 +21.9U
2U PLAYS: 29-16-1 +22.8U
1U PLAYS: 18-14-1 +2.6U

WEEK 1: 6-5-1 -.1U
WEEK 2: 8-3 +8.4U
WEEK 3: 6-4 +1.1U
WEEK 4: 7-2 +9.6U
WEEK 5: 6-4 +2.2U
WEEK 6: 8-4 +9.1U
WEEK 7: 4-3-1 -6.2U
WEEK 8: 5-2 +4.4U
WEEK 9: 3-3 +1.5U
WEEK 10: 5-5-1 +3U
WEEK 11: 4-5-1 -2.1U
WEEK 12: 6-5 +2.8U

SEC GAMES

MISSISSIPPI STATE -16 vs MISSISSIPPI (2 UNITS) – I just think this is too many points in this rivalry game. This is Ole Miss’s bowl game this year and they would love nothing more than to stick it to their rival. In the end I don’t think Ole Miss has enough D to pull off the win but I think they have the enough on O to keep this a game. MISSISSIPPI STATE 35 MISSISSIPPI 26

MIZZOU -10.5 @ ARKANSAS (3 UNITS) – this will be all about the Razorbacks mindset IMO. If they had beaten Mississippi State last week and needed this for a bowl I would be a little more worried. Will they get up for what is Bielima’s last game? I think they will…at least for a little while. I just don’t think they have enough on D to slow down this Mizzou offense right now. Mizzou was a little sloppy last week against Vandy…they can’t do that this week. The quicker they can get up on the Hogs the better it will be for them. If they let them hang around it could get interesting. In the end I think the Tigers will be too much. My head is saying go bigger on this game but my heart is expecting to be disappointed do I will stay in the middle. MIZZOU 45 ARKANSAS 24


TENNESSEE -1 vs VANDERBILT (NO PLAY) – UT is more talented but I did see a little more fight out of Vandy than I have seen out of UT. I really think this game could go either way so I am going to stay away. I’ll go with the scrappier team I guess. VANDERBILT 30 TENNESSEE 24

KENTUCKY +10 vs LOUISVILLE (NO PLAY) – UK knocked off Louisville last year so I think Louisville will get some revenge this year. I thought UK would put up a little more of a fight against UGA than it did. Jackson is going to get his and I think UK can put up some points on this Louisville D as well. I just like how the Cardinals are playing a little better right now. LOUISVILLE 38 KENTUCKY 28

GEORGIA -11 vs GEORGIA TECH (NO PLAY) – this is always a weird game IMO. Usually always seems to be closer than expected. However with the way this two teams are playing I find it hard to see UGA not winning comfortably. So I lean to the Bulldogs but I’m not playing this one. GEORGIA 31 GEORGIA TECH 17

SOUTH CAROLINA +14 vs CLEMSON (NO PLAY) – Line seems about right in this one. I think Clemson wins and wins pretty comfortably but I think SC will hang around. Clemson blew their doors off last year and I think SC will come out fired up early on. I just don’t think they have the horses to keep up for 4 quarters. CLEMSON 34 SOUTH CAROLINA 17

LSU -10.5 vs TEXAS A&M – (NO PLAY) – LSU has won 6 straight over A&M and I think that continues this week…just not sure they cover the double digit spread. I think the line is about right so while I think the Tigers win…I’m not playing this one either. LSU 30 TEXAS A&M 17

ALABAMA -4.5 @ AUBURN (NO PLAY) – Auburn’s only 2 wins over Saban are the kick 6 and when they had Cam Newton. You could make the argument that Auburn might be the better overall team…and I kind of agree that they are. However I’m not betting against Saban. I won’t be shocked if Auburn wins this game…in fact my head is telling me to take the points…but I think Bama finds a way. ALABAMA 27 AUBURN 24

FLORIDA +5 vs FLORIDA STATE (NO PLAY) – You could have made a lot of money if you made a bet that these two teams would both be 4-6 at this point. FSU has won 6 of last 7 meeting between these teams. I just can’t trust laying points with this FSU team. Ignoring the Deleware State game their offense has been horrible. Florida has shown a pulse the past couple of weeks and I think they find a way to win a close one at home. FLORIDA 27 FLORIDA STATE 20

OTHER GAMES I LIKE

OKLAHOMA -22.5 vs WEST VIRGINIA (3 UNITS) – It’s safe to say Mayfield is going to be a little extra motivated this week. He may not start but he is going to have a huge day. WV is without Grier as well so this one will get ugly. OKLAHOMA 51 WEST VIRGINIA 17

OKLAHOMA STATE -40 vs KANSAS (2 UNITS) – OSU will take out their frustration this week after a crushing loss to KST. Crazy stat of the day…OSU (4,214) has 507 more passing yards this year than KU has total yards (3,707)…yikes…this is going to be ugly. OKLAHOMA STATE 63 KANSAS 10

WASHINGTON STATE +9 @ WASHINGTON (3 UNITS) – Wazzu controls their own destiny to the Pac 12 title game. Keeping Flak upright will be the key to this game. Washington can get pressure so the key will be the Wazzu offensive line in this one. Washington State is also the more rested team here. I like the Cougars to get the road win and go to the Pac 12 title game. WASHINGTON STATE 34 WASHINGTON 30

MEMPHIS -28 vs EAST CAROLINA (3 UNITS/1 ON OVER 79) – Memphis is going to be able to name their score and I also expect ECU to put up some points as well. I like the Tigers to cover but if they don’t this will be going over so going to cover myself a little…but I actually think both hit. MEMPHIS 65 EAST CAROLINA 27

NORTHWESTERN -16.5 @ Illinois (3 UNITS) – Don’t look now but Northwestern is 8-3…and have won 6 in a row…they are one of the hottest teams in football along with Missouri…they just aren’t as flashy. I like their D to completely dominate a pretty horrible Illini team. NORTHWESTERN 38 ILLINIOS 10

WISCONSIN -17 @ MINNESOTA (2 UNITS) – Minnesota can’t score on anyone not named Nebraska. I don’t see how they will here either. Wisconsin may not be a top 4 team but they are pretty darn good…especially on defense. Badgers roll here. WISCONSIN 31 MINNESOTA 6

FLORIDA ATLANTIC -21.5 @ UNCC (5 UNITS) – FAU is on fire and is going to run all over Charlotte in this one. Turn away this is going to be ugly. FLORIDA ATLANTIC 59-17

ALSO CONSIDERING (this week going 1 unit on all of these games as well)
VIRGINIA TECH -7 @ VIRGINIA
CENTRAL FLORIDA -11 vs SOUTH FLORIDA
PURDUE -2.5 vs INDIANA
PENN STATE -21.5 @ MARYLAND
ARIZONA STATE PK vs ARIZONA
OREGON -26 vs OREGON STATE
IOWA STATE +3 @ KANSAS STATE
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WEEK 13 SEC picks and other games...Turkey day edition - qbbearcat MU - 11/22 10:02:12




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