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2017-2018 Projections

Posted on: May 24, 2017 at 13:17:18 CT
nitwittc3 MU
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Based on production of similarly ranked players and style of play, along with diminished roles projected, I came up with player projections for my predicted 9 rotation players for next year (including Jontay). I then compared these stats to where we would rank nationally based on this past year results. I did associate minutes to each player, can include if want to discuss that talking point. I found that we only have 2 double digit scorers, but a bunch of good scorers. Robertson is the toughest to project, but he was our only other double digit scorer.

Things to consider:
2015-2016 California Basketball, in my opinion CM's best team (if not being injured at the end of the season would have made the Sweet 16):

75 PTS 40 REB 13 AST 5 BLK 4 STL

Michael Porter: 19.2 PTS 11.8 REB 4.8 AST .8 BLK 2 STL
Jontay Porter: 9.4 PTS 7.4 REB 1.1 AST .7 BLK 1 STL
Tilmon: 8 PTS 5.2 REB .7 AST 1.7 BLK .7 STL
Barnett: 8.9 PTS 4.2 REB .4 AST .3 BLK .4 STL
Puryear: 8.3 PTS 4 REB .6 AST .2 BLK .3 STL

Phillips: 9.1 PTS 3.2 REB 3.8 AST .1 BLK 1.1 STL
Robertson: 12.1 PTS 2.3 REB 1.8 AST .1 BLK .8 STL
Harris: 5.8 PTS 2 REB 1.3 AST .1 BLK .8 STL
Roberts: 5.4 PTS 1.9 REB 1.2 AST .1 BLK .8 STL

Totals: 86.2 PTS 42 REB 15.7 AST 4.1 BLK 7.9 STL
RANKS: 5th PTS 2nd REB 47th AST 78th BLK 25th STL
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MESSAGE THREAD

2017-2018 Projections - nitwittc3 MU - 5/24 13:17:18
     Thanks. Now there's no need . . . - Soltan Gris MU - 5/25 06:37:25
     Did you include regression to the mean?(nm) - ERB KC - 5/24 22:21:44
          short answer no nm - nitwittc3 MU - 5/25 10:51:19
     RE: 2017-2018 Projections - longtimereader MU - 5/24 17:56:49
     4 AST per game won't get you anywhere(nm) - tigerinhogtown STL - 5/24 14:43:29
          He projects 15 plus AST per game - mu7176grad MU - 5/24 14:48:42
               opps, I need my glasses(nm) - tigerinhogtown STL - 5/24 14:50:35
     86 Points???! Those are more like NBA numbers, not a - namres MU - 5/24 13:36:59
          UCLA averaged more this year.(nm) - zodiac6 JC - 5/24 13:48:35
               well that settles it (nm) - phrejd MU - 5/24 13:51:59
                    It's actually a good point considering 1 NBA team avg less - mizzou john MU - 5/24 14:59:12
                         Correct. - zodiac6 JC - 5/24 20:07:45
                    lol(nm) - ajpe53 MU - 5/24 13:55:03
          3 year run of past MU scoring avges: - FIJItiger MU - 5/24 13:38:57
               the period between KA's assistant coaching stints??? - lqf2b8 MU - 5/24 14:38:29
                    the period when Lee Coward was our starting pg (nm) - FIJItiger MU - 5/24 15:02:03
     Porter would be among the national leaders in rebounds - FIJItiger MU - 5/24 13:34:05
          I know this isnt an exact science, but I am also not pulling - nitwittc3 MU - 5/24 14:10:14
     RE: 2017-2018 Projections - Big Ray 2 USA - 5/24 13:28:15
          There was a freshman down the road from you with - Wbl7w6 MU - 5/24 13:30:41
               Most similarly rated freshmen have been in the 17 ppg range - longtimereader MU - 5/24 18:29:42
                    Beasley and KD averaged like 28. If Simmons could score - Wbl7w6 MU - 5/25 00:38:11
               RE: There was a freshman down the road from you with - Big Ray 2 USA - 5/24 14:04:21
                    Ray what did Josh end up averaging? (nm) - DevilsAdvocate MU - 5/24 15:31:53
                         About one fifth of Fiji's room temp IQ. - Big Ray 2 USA - 5/24 17:25:07
                         2.5 criminal violations per year (nm) - FIJItiger MU - 5/24 15:33:35
     I forgot to add UNC Championship Season - nitwittc3 MU - 5/24 13:26:13
     I will take that bet on Porter Jr.s rebounding numbers all - TheWildcat STL - 5/24 13:18:52




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