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Two stunners for Mittens: Obama +13 nationally, +4 in Fla
Posted on: June 21, 2012 at 09:03:44 CT
Bluestrike KC
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A fair 38D/33R/29I split nationally in Bloomberg, which is closer than the WaPo, NYT, or WSJ polls, and two pts closer than the 2008 election exit polls. Very bad numbers for the Mittens campaign from a reputable public pollster.
http://www.politico.com/blogs/burns-haberman/2012/06/bloomberg-poll-obama-up-big-bain-debate-up-for-grabs-126719.html
It's polls like these that drive the right crazy, but it's not all that far off from Fox News own May poll that showed Mittens under 40% (46-39). While I don't believe for a second that we'll win by anywhere close to 13 pts, it's also clear the race isn't 'tied' either at this point. We continue to hover between 310-320 electoral votes, while Mittens falls shy of 200, and we'll get at least an honest break of the true undecided states.
I don't think voters are in love with my guy, but they understand Mittens isn't an option either, not with his plan of 'reforming' middle and lower class entitlements to pay for more tax cuts for the wealthy. It always amazes me that Republicans honestly believe that will sell with those voters.
Voters (in general) are stupid, but they're not THAT stupid.
More proof from Florida this morning, where Quinnipiac is reporting a stunning 10-pt swing--Mittens +6 to Obama +4--from May, led by Independents (+9), blacks (91-5), women (+10), and a huge shift in hispanics (17 pt swing from May). And they say the President (49-44) would do more “to advance the economic interests of middle class Americans.”
http://www.politico.com/blogs/burns-haberman/2012/06/quinnipiac-shows-point-swing-in-florida-126883.html
Another interesting public poll from Wisconsin yesterday, with Marquette showing a 6-pt lead for the President. After hitting the recall on the number (+7), it shows what we saw election day--those one-in-five (or quarter of a million) Obama/Walker voters turn a 7-pt Walker victory over Barrett into a 6-pt Obama victory over Mittens. Nobody has changed their minds in Wisconsin after the big Walker win. And the turnout won't get much better for the Republicans in November, while we'll turn out 1.5 million in our sleep.
I hope the Republicans spend a boatload of $$$ in Wisconsin. I really do.
Lots of time remaining, and many things can (and will) happen, but this myth of some Mittens 'surge' makes me laugh--he's lost even more ground the past month, supposedly a 'rough' 30 days for the President. And with the SCOTUS health care ruling expected with days (or even hours), we seem to be weathering the rapids just fine.
The Obama decision on immigration Friday has hispanic support rising everywhere for the President, and that's REAL bad news for Mittens, a potential game-changer in states like Florida, Colorado, and Arizona.
Raz can make you feel better with his funny 'numbers' all the way until election day, but the landscape hasn't changed much--the President will be reelected, and reelected fairly comfortably...
http://www.politico.com/blogs/burns-haberman/2012/06/bloomberg-poll-obama-up-big-bain-debate-up-for-grabs-126719.html
It's polls like these that drive the right crazy, but it's not all that far off from Fox News own May poll that showed Mittens under 40% (46-39). While I don't believe for a second that we'll win by anywhere close to 13 pts, it's also clear the race isn't 'tied' either at this point. We continue to hover between 310-320 electoral votes, while Mittens falls shy of 200, and we'll get at least an honest break of the true undecided states.
I don't think voters are in love with my guy, but they understand Mittens isn't an option either, not with his plan of 'reforming' middle and lower class entitlements to pay for more tax cuts for the wealthy. It always amazes me that Republicans honestly believe that will sell with those voters.
Voters (in general) are stupid, but they're not THAT stupid.
More proof from Florida this morning, where Quinnipiac is reporting a stunning 10-pt swing--Mittens +6 to Obama +4--from May, led by Independents (+9), blacks (91-5), women (+10), and a huge shift in hispanics (17 pt swing from May). And they say the President (49-44) would do more “to advance the economic interests of middle class Americans.”
http://www.politico.com/blogs/burns-haberman/2012/06/quinnipiac-shows-point-swing-in-florida-126883.html
Another interesting public poll from Wisconsin yesterday, with Marquette showing a 6-pt lead for the President. After hitting the recall on the number (+7), it shows what we saw election day--those one-in-five (or quarter of a million) Obama/Walker voters turn a 7-pt Walker victory over Barrett into a 6-pt Obama victory over Mittens. Nobody has changed their minds in Wisconsin after the big Walker win. And the turnout won't get much better for the Republicans in November, while we'll turn out 1.5 million in our sleep.
I hope the Republicans spend a boatload of $$$ in Wisconsin. I really do.
Lots of time remaining, and many things can (and will) happen, but this myth of some Mittens 'surge' makes me laugh--he's lost even more ground the past month, supposedly a 'rough' 30 days for the President. And with the SCOTUS health care ruling expected with days (or even hours), we seem to be weathering the rapids just fine.
The Obama decision on immigration Friday has hispanic support rising everywhere for the President, and that's REAL bad news for Mittens, a potential game-changer in states like Florida, Colorado, and Arizona.
Raz can make you feel better with his funny 'numbers' all the way until election day, but the landscape hasn't changed much--the President will be reelected, and reelected fairly comfortably...
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Two stunners for Mittens: Obama +13 nationally, +4 in Fla - Bluestrike KC - 6/21 09:03:44
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